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Books > Social sciences > Warfare & defence
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Threatcasting (Paperback)
Loot Price: R1,518
Discovery Miles 15 180
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Threatcasting (Paperback)
Series: Synthesis Lectures on Threatcasting
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Impending technological advances will widen an adversary's attack
plane over the next decade. Visualizing what the future will hold,
and what new threat vectors could emerge, is a task that
traditional planning mechanisms struggle to accomplish given the
wide range of potential issues. Understanding and preparing for the
future operating environment is the basis of an analytical method
known as Threatcasting. It is a method that gives researchers a
structured way to envision and plan for risks ten years in the
future. Threatcasting uses input from social science, technical
research, cultural history, economics, trends, expert interviews,
and even a little science fiction to recognize future threats and
design potential futures. During this human-centric process,
participants brainstorm what actions can be taken to identify,
track, disrupt, mitigate, and recover from the possible threats.
Specifically, groups explore how to transform the future they
desire into reality while avoiding an undesired future. The
Threatcasting method also exposes what events could happen that
indicate the progression toward an increasingly possible threat
landscape. This book begins with an overview of the Threatcasting
method with examples and case studies to enhance the academic
foundation. Along with end-of-chapter exercises to enhance the
reader's understanding of the concepts, there is also a full
project where the reader can conduct a mock Threatcasting on the
topic of "the next biological public health crisis." The second
half of the book is designed as a practitioner's handbook. It has
three separate chapters (based on the general size of the
Threatcasting group) that walk the reader through how to apply the
knowledge from Part I to conduct an actual Threatcasting activity.
This book will be useful for a wide audience (from student to
practitioner) and will hopefully promote new dialogues across
communities and novel developments in the area.
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