The use of land changes over time as both natural and man-made
environments are influenced by the pressures associated with the
processes of development. The demand for land for new residential
housing has been a huge challenge for governments striving to
protect greenfield sites across Europe in recent years, whilst
regeneration has been a common response to the decline of
manufacturing in the old industrial heartlands. The variety of
forces that drive change in the use of land are extensive and
complex, including spatial planning policies designed at local,
regional, national and supra-national levels.
In order to understand the mechanisms of change and the impact
of policies, the formulation, calibration and testing of models is
required. Land-use change models help us to understand the
complexities and interdependencies of the components that
constitute spatial systems and can provide valuable insights into
possible land-use configurations in the future. Models of land-use
change incorporate a vast amount of knowledge from a wide range of
disciplines. Geography contributes to the understanding of land-use
change whilst demography and economics help explain underlying
trends. Model building relies heavily on mathematics and
(geographical) information systems, but also includes many elements
from the softer sciences, such as management studies and
environmental science. This book offers a cross-sectional overview
of current research progress that allows the construction of
successful land-use models. The contributions range from
methodology and calibration to actual applications in studies of
recent policy implementation and evaluation. The contributors
originate from academicand applied research institutes around the
world and thus offer an interesting mix of theory and practice in
different case study contexts.
Several years have passed since John Stillwell and Henk Scholten
published "Land Use Simulation for Europe" in 2001, and the subject
has moved on since then. The current volume, "Modelling Land-use
Change," is an indispensable guide for anyone interested in the
state-of-the-art of land-use modelling, its background and its
application. In summary, land-use change simulation modelling is a
relatively new and dynamic field of study and this book provides a
full overview of the topic, a wide range of applications (both
geographically and thematically), a mix of theory and practice, a
synthesis of recent research progress, and educational material for
students and teachers.
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