This is a joint study involving five organisations from both the
public and private sectors. The objective is to explore the future
need for fertilizer required to support the Food and Agriculture
Organization's (FAO) projections of agricultural commodity
production for 2015 and 2030. The paper begins by briefly reviewing
attempts to identify and quantify the factors influencing the
growth in demand and supply for agricultural commodities. Several
studies that estimate long-term fertlizer use are also reviewed,
followed by a discussion of the forecasting methods and data. The
results and implications conclude the paper. The study projects
growth rates of between 0.7 and 1.3 per cent, depending on
assumptions about nutrient efficiency over the next 35 years
General
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