Originally published in 1987, this title is about theory
construction in psychology. Where theories come from, as opposed to
how they become established, was almost a no-man's land in the
history and philosophy of science at the time. The authors argue
that in the science of mind, theories are particularly likely to
come from tools, and they are especially concerned with the
emergence of the metaphor of the mind as an intuitive statistician.
In the first chapter, the authors discuss the rise of the inference
revolution, which institutionalized those statistical tools that
later became theories of cognitive processes. In each of the four
following chapters they treat one major topic of cognitive
psychology and show to what degree statistical concepts transformed
their understanding of those topics.
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