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Truthlikeness for Multidimensional, Quantitative Cognitive Problems (Hardcover, 1996 ed.)
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Truthlikeness for Multidimensional, Quantitative Cognitive Problems (Hardcover, 1996 ed.)
Series: Synthese Library, 254
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Philosophers of science have produced a variety of definitions for
the notion of one sentence, theory or hypothesis being closer to
the truth, more verisimilar, or more truthlike than another one.
The definitions put forward by philosophers presuppose at least
implicitly that the subject matter with which the compared
sentences, theories or hypotheses are concerned has been
specified,! and the property of closeness to the truth,
verisimilitude or truth likeness appearing in such definitions
should be understood as closeness to informative truth about that
subject matter. This monograph is concerned with a special case of
the problem of defining verisimilitude, a case in which this
subject matter is of a rather restricted kind. Below, I shall
suppose that there is a finite number of interrelated quantities
which are used for characterizing the state of some system.
Scientists might arrive at different hypotheses concerning the
values of such quantities in a variety of ways. There might be
various theories that give different predictions (whose
informativeness might differ , too) on which combinations of the
values of these quantities are possible. Scientists might also have
measured all or some of the quantities in question with some
accuracy. Finally, they might also have combined these two methods
of forming hypotheses on their values by first measuring some of
the quantities and then deducing the values of some others from the
combination of a theory and the measurement results.
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