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Books > Science & Mathematics > Science: general issues > Philosophy of science
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Projective Probability (Hardcover, New)
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Projective Probability (Hardcover, New)
Series: Oxford Philosophical Monographs
Expected to ship within 18 - 22 working days
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This book presents a novel theory of probability and judgements of
probability: strong coherentist subjectivism. Logue combines three
claims in his exposition of this theory. The first states that
probabilities may be treated as the degrees of partial belief of
(ideally rational) agents, best established by the examination of
behaviour. Thus, probability is personalist. The second claim
contends that only such degrees of belief can be construed as
probabilities: on this strongly subjectivist view the notion
objective chance is, if not conceptually impossible, at any rate
redundant. The third, coherentist, claim maintains that minimal
coherence of probability-beliefs is all that is necessary for those
beliefs to be rational; that is, on this view, weak coherence of a
set of beliefs is both a necessary and sufficient condition for the
rationality of those beliefs. This theory suggests a quasi-realist
perspective, in which probabilities are viewed as projections of
subjective evaluations. Provided that these evaluations conform to
the standards of coherence, they come legitimately to be expressed
in apparently realist of objectivist language. This projectivist
outlook provides a convincing rationale for the theory, helps to
free it from psychologism and excessive 'Bayesian' zeal, and
provides it with smoother solutions to longstanding problems in the
area of probability.
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