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Great American Gamble - Deterrence Theory and Practice from the Cold War to the Twenty-First Century (Paperback, New)
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Great American Gamble - Deterrence Theory and Practice from the Cold War to the Twenty-First Century (Paperback, New)
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The Great American Gamble examines the past, present, and
prospective future of U.S. deterrence theory, strategic forces,
nuclear weapons and policy. It provides a detailed explanation of
the competing schools of deterrence theory that emerged during the
late 1950's and early 1960's. Based on an extensive review of
previously classified documents, it demonstrates how and why U.S.
Government policies came to adhere to the guidelines established by
the theory of deterrence popularly called the "balance of terror."
Dr. Payne presents the assumptions, judgments and hopes that led
U.S. policy makers in consecutive Republican and Democratic
administrations to that choice. Acceptance of a balance of terror
as official policy was challenged on occasion during the Cold War
under both Democratic and Republican administrations, but it
persisted as the lodestar for U.S. strategic policies. Most
Americans presumed they were defended, but U.S. Government choices
were predicated on the belief, as noted by Henry Kissinger, "that
vulnerability contributed to peace, and invulnerability contributed
to war." Looking forward, the key question is to what extent the
basic tenets of Cold War academic deterrence theory provide useful
guidance to contemporary strategic policy given contemporary
threats and conditions? The conclusion offered herein is that
familiar Cold War guidelines are a manifestly imprudent basis for
U.S. policy. Much of what we believed we knew about deterrence
during the Cold War now appears to have been more fleeting hope
than wisdom.
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