Are people rational? This question was central to Greek thought;
and has been at the heart of psychology and philosophy for
millennia. This book provides a radical and controversial
reappraisal of conventional wisdom in the psychology of reasoning,
proposing that the Western conception of the mind as a logical
system is flawed at the very outset. It argues that cognition
should be understood in terms of probability theory, the calculus
of uncertain reasoning, rather than in terms of logic, the calculus
of certain reasoning.
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