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Advanced Introduction to Scenario Planning (Paperback)
Loot Price: R605
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Advanced Introduction to Scenario Planning (Paperback)
Series: Elgar Advanced Introductions series
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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Elgar Advanced Introductions are stimulating and thoughtful
introductions to major fields in the social sciences, business and
law, expertly written by the world's leading scholars. Designed to
be accessible yet rigorous, they offer concise and lucid surveys of
the substantive and policy issues associated with discrete subject
areas. Providing a panoramic overview of the evolving world of
scenario planning, this Advanced Introduction uses topical case
studies to analyze the developing methodologies of scenario
planning. Written by Paul J.H. Schoemaker, a leading authority on
the topic, this book synthesizes rigorous theory and practical
experiences including best practises, normative views, and future
challenges or opportunities for scenario planning. Key Features:
Explains why future uncertainties require more than traditional
risk analysis when ambiguous unknowns or Black Swans are involved
Illustrates scenario planning through an in-depth case analysis of
the biosciences which, in the wake of global pandemics, are gaining
in societal import Examines how historical thinking and
historiography can enrich scenarios by revisiting future
projections made for South Africa post-apartheid Shows why scenario
planning fosters critical and creative thinking by overcoming
myopic framing, overconfidence and other biases in organizations
Examines methodological and statistical techniques in scenario
planning, including model building and simulations, and their
connections to strategy formulation Interdisciplinary in its
approach, this Advanced Introduction will prove invaluable to
students and scholars of public policy, business management, and
organizational studies. Its tools and practical advice will also be
a vital resource to practitioners and policy leaders involved in
leading or implementing scenario planning in their organizations.
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