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Epidemic Risk Analysis and Assessment in Transport Services - COVID-19 and Other Viruses (Hardcover)
Loot Price: R5,063
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Epidemic Risk Analysis and Assessment in Transport Services - COVID-19 and Other Viruses (Hardcover)
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"Accurate and fully explicit mathematical models and derivations
make the proposed method truly universal irrespective of the
geographical location and the kind of virus epidemic." Minvydas
Ragulskis, Kaunas University of Technology, Lithuania The effects
of a pandemic on public, personal and freight transport can be
sudden and massive, and yet transport is vital to the functioning
of an advanced economy and society. On the other hand, transport,
due to social mobility, has a decisive influence on the speed and
scope of epidemic spread. This book presents a complete methodology
for assessing the hazards, and probability and risks of viral
transmission on transport services, using as a detailed example the
SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus pandemic. It gives proposals and
recommendations for estimating human deaths caused by virus
infection in transport. Significantly, it considers not only
passenger transport but also freight transport, such as delivery or
parcel services. The tools include a matrix of hazard assessment in
various transportation services, with a methodology for estimating
the probability of virus transmission through both droplets and
surface contact. These allow estimation of the effects of
infections and consequent epidemic risk in all kinds of transport
services, including freight, and provide methods for forecasting
and risk management which determine transport safety. Rafal Burdzik
is a professor in the Faculty of Transport and Aviation Engineering
at Silesian University of Technology, Poland, with more than 20
years of transport research experience.
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