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Estimating Impact - A Handbook of Computational Methods and Models for Anticipating Economic, Social, Political and Security Effects in International Interventions (Paperback, 2010 ed.)
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Estimating Impact - A Handbook of Computational Methods and Models for Anticipating Economic, Social, Political and Security Effects in International Interventions (Paperback, 2010 ed.)
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Sociological theories of crime include: theories of strain blame
crime on personal stressors; theories of social learning blame
crime on its social rewards, and see crime more as an institution
in conflict with other institutions rather than as in- vidual
deviance; and theories of control look at crime as natural and
rewarding, and explore the formation of institutions that control
crime. Theorists of corruption generally agree that corruption is
an expression of the Patron-Client relationship in which a person
with access to resources trades resources with kin and members of
the community in exchange for loyalty. Some approaches to modeling
crime and corruption do not involve an explicit simulation: rule
based systems; Bayesian networks; game theoretic approaches, often
based on rational choice theory; and Neoclassical Econometrics, a
rational choice-based approach. Simulation-based approaches take
into account greater complexities of interacting parts of social
phenomena. These include fuzzy cognitive maps and fuzzy rule sets
that may incorporate feedback; and agent-based simulation, which
can go a step farther by computing new social structures not
previously identified in theory. The latter include cognitive agent
models, in which agents learn how to perceive their en- ronment and
act upon the perceptions of their individual experiences; and
reactive agent simulation, which, while less capable than
cognitive-agent simulation, is adequate for testing a policy's
effects with existing societal structures. For example, NNL is a
cognitive agent model based on the REPAST Simphony toolkit.
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