Forecasting Urban Travel presents in a non-mathematical way the
evolution of methods, models and theories underpinning travel
forecasts and policy analysis, from the early urban transportation
studies of the 1950s to current applications throughout the
urbanized world. From original documents, correspondence and
interviews, especially from the United States and the United
Kingdom, the authors seek to capture the spirit and problems faced
in different eras, as changing information requirements, computing
technology and planning objectives conditioned the nature of
forecasts. With over 1000 references, the book charts the key ideas
relating to land use, travel demand, network costs and flows, and
their interactions, from both research and practice to the present
states of the art. The authors examine the widening scope and
variety of models for analysing and forecasting personal travel and
goods movement, identifying contributions from economics,
psychology, geography, regional science, operational research,
transportation engineering and mathematics. Finally, they offer
their views of the future directions and requirements facing the
field. Offering a historical presentation of urban forecasting
models covering six decades, accessible to a wide range of
students, researchers and planners, this book will be of great
interest to undergraduate and graduate students in transportation
courses in civil engineering, economics, geography, regional
science and planning. Through its discussion of critiques and
missed opportunities as travel demand, network and land- use
transportation models evolved, the book will also serve as a
valuable resource for teachers, academic researchers and
practitioners in travel behaviour and forecasting.
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