The uncontrolled utilization of natural resources to supply to
the water demands of the ever-growing population has brought about
worldwide scarcity. The supply shortage has resulted in conflicts
between countries, created prolonged drought, closing of industrial
units, shifting of local inhabitants etc. The abnormality in
climatic patterns due to global warming has only enhanced the
uncertainties. Unregulated discharge of waste water into fresh
water resources is also polluting the available water resources and
making them non-utilizable. That is why the discrepancy between
water supply and demand is slowly but steadily becoming a problem,
which may lead to conflict and inequality all over the world. The
present investigation is an attempt to find the impact of
urbanization in the face of climatic uncertainties on water
shortage or scarcity. How is climate responsible? What urbanization
factors have an influence on the extent of shortages? What is the
role of the socio-economic status of the inhabitants?
Industrialization? Consumption pattern? Each of the causes and
effects were analyzed with the help of data from a climate model,
which was then fed into a hydrologic model. The hydrologic output
data was then put into various other novel simulation platforms to
predict the uncertainties that can be caused by urbanization in
various sectors of the regions of interest. The impact was
calculated based on IPCC recommended climatic and five distinct
urbanization scenarios. The study results will help to predict what
is in store of those living in the developing countries. Possible
mitigation measures are also discussed."
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