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Nonlinear Time Series Analysis with R (Hardcover)
Loot Price: R2,722
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Nonlinear Time Series Analysis with R (Hardcover)
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Nonlinear Time Series Analysis with R provides a practical guide to
emerging empirical techniques allowing practitioners to diagnose
whether highly fluctuating and random appearing data are most
likely driven by random or deterministic dynamic forces. It joins
the chorus of voices recommending 'getting to know your data' as an
essential preliminary evidentiary step in modelling. Time series
are often highly fluctuating with a random appearance. Observed
volatility is commonly attributed to exogenous random shocks to
stable real-world systems. However, breakthroughs in nonlinear
dynamics raise another possibility: highly complex dynamics can
emerge endogenously from astoundingly parsimonious deterministic
nonlinear models. Nonlinear Time Series Analysis (NLTS) is a
collection of empirical tools designed to aid practitioners detect
whether stochastic or deterministic dynamics most likely drive
observed complexity. Practitioners become 'data detectives'
accumulating hard empirical evidence supporting their modelling
approach. This book is targeted to professionals and graduate
students in engineering and the biophysical and social sciences.
Its major objectives are to help non-mathematicians - with limited
knowledge of nonlinear dynamics - to become operational in NLTS;
and in this way to pave the way for NLTS to be adopted in the
conventional empirical toolbox and core coursework of the targeted
disciplines. Consistent with modern trends in university
instruction, the book makes readers active learners with hands-on
computer experiments in R code directing them through NLTS methods
and helping them understand the underlying logic (please see
www.marco.bittelli.com). The computer code is explained in detail
so that readers can adjust it for use in their own work. The book
also provides readers with an explicit framework - condensed from
sound empirical practices recommended in the literature - that
details a step-by-step procedure for applying NLTS in real-world
data diagnostics.
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