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Books > Business & Economics > Economics > Econometrics > Economic statistics

Computational Intelligence for Wireless Sensor Networks - Principles and Applications (Book): Sandip Kumar Chaurasiya Computational Intelligence for Wireless Sensor Networks - Principles and Applications (Book)
Sandip Kumar Chaurasiya
R1,301 Discovery Miles 13 010 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Ranking of Multivariate Populations - A Permutation Approach with Applications (Paperback): Eleonora Carrozzo Ranking of Multivariate Populations - A Permutation Approach with Applications (Paperback)
Eleonora Carrozzo; Stefano Bonnini, Livio Corain; Contributions by Luigi Salmaso; Rosa Arboretti
R1,470 Discovery Miles 14 700 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Ranking of Multivariate Populations: A Permutation Approach with Applications presents a novel permutation-based nonparametric approach for ranking several multivariate populations. Using data collected from both experimental and observation studies, it covers some of the most useful designs widely applied in research and industry investigations, such as multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) and multivariate randomized complete block (MRCB) designs. The first section of the book introduces the topic of ranking multivariate populations by presenting the main theoretical ideas and an in-depth literature review. The second section discusses a large number of real case studies from four specific research areas: new product development in industry, perceived quality of the indoor environment, customer satisfaction, and cytological and histological analysis by image processing. A web-based nonparametric combination global ranking software is also described. Designed for practitioners and postgraduate students in statistics and the applied sciences, this application-oriented book offers a practical guide to the reliable global ranking of multivariate items, such as products, processes, and services, in terms of the performance of all investigated products/prototypes.

Spreadsheet Modeling and Decision Analysis - A Practical Introduction to Business Analytics (Hardcover, 9th edition): Cliff... Spreadsheet Modeling and Decision Analysis - A Practical Introduction to Business Analytics (Hardcover, 9th edition)
Cliff Ragsdale
R1,374 R1,281 Discovery Miles 12 810 Save R93 (7%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Master key spreadsheet and business analytics skills with SPREADSHEET MODELING AND DECISION ANALYSIS: A PRACTICAL INTRODUCTION TO BUSINESS ANALYTICS, 9E, written by respected business analytics innovator Cliff Ragsdale. This edition's clear presentation, realistic examples, fascinating topics and valuable software provide everything you need to become proficient in today's most widely used business analytics techniques using the latest version of Excel (R) in Microsoft (R) Office 365 or Office 2019. Become skilled in the newest Excel functions as well as Analytic Solver (R) and Data Mining add-ins. This edition helps you develop both algebraic and spreadsheet modeling skills. Step-by-step instructions and annotated, full-color screen images make examples easy to follow and show you how to apply what you learn about descriptive, predictive and prescriptive analytics to real business situations. WebAssign online tools and author-created videos further strengthen understanding.

Introduction to Time Series Modeling with Applications in R - with Applications in R (Paperback, 2nd edition): Genshiro Kitagawa Introduction to Time Series Modeling with Applications in R - with Applications in R (Paperback, 2nd edition)
Genshiro Kitagawa
R1,470 Discovery Miles 14 700 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Praise for the first edition: [This book] reflects the extensive experience and significant contributions of the author to non-linear and non-Gaussian modeling. ... [It] is a valuable book, especially with its broad and accessible introduction of models in the state-space framework. -Statistics in Medicine What distinguishes this book from comparable introductory texts is the use of state-space modeling. Along with this come a number of valuable tools for recursive filtering and smoothing, including the Kalman filter, as well as non-Gaussian and sequential Monte Carlo filters. -MAA Reviews Introduction to Time Series Modeling with Applications in R, Second Edition covers numerous stationary and nonstationary time series models and tools for estimating and utilizing them. The goal of this book is to enable readers to build their own models to understand, predict and master time series. The second edition makes it possible for readers to reproduce examples in this book by using the freely available R package TSSS to perform computations for their own real-world time series problems. This book employs the state-space model as a generic tool for time series modeling and presents the Kalman filter, the non-Gaussian filter and the particle filter as convenient tools for recursive estimation for state-space models. Further, it also takes a unified approach based on the entropy maximization principle and employs various methods of parameter estimation and model selection, including the least squares method, the maximum likelihood method, recursive estimation for state-space models and model selection by AIC. Along with the standard stationary time series models, such as the AR and ARMA models, the book also introduces nonstationary time series models such as the locally stationary AR model, the trend model, the seasonal adjustment model, the time-varying coefficient AR model and nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models. About the Author: Genshiro Kitagawa is a project professor at the University of Tokyo, the former Director-General of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, and the former President of the Research Organization of Information and Systems.

The Role of Franchising on Industry Evolution - Assessing the Emergence of Franchising and its Impact on Structural Change... The Role of Franchising on Industry Evolution - Assessing the Emergence of Franchising and its Impact on Structural Change (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2017)
Rosalind Beere
R3,931 Discovery Miles 39 310 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

The role of franchising on industry evolution is explored in this book both in terms of the emergence of franchising and its impact on industry structure. Examining literature and statistical information the first section provides an overview of franchising. The Role of Franchising on Industry Evolution then focuses on two core elements; the emergence or franchising and the contextual drivers prompting its adoption, and the impact of franchising on industry-level structural changes. Through two industry case studies, the author demonstrates how franchising has the ability to fundamentally transform an industry's structure from one of fragmentation to one of consolidation.

Empirical Macroeconomics and Statistical Uncertainty - Spatial and Temporal Disaggregation of Regional Economic Indicators... Empirical Macroeconomics and Statistical Uncertainty - Spatial and Temporal Disaggregation of Regional Economic Indicators (Paperback)
Mateusz Pipien, Sylwia Roszkowska
R1,282 Discovery Miles 12 820 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

This book addresses one of the most important research activities in empirical macroeconomics. It provides a course of advanced but intuitive methods and tools enabling the spatial and temporal disaggregation of basic macroeconomic variables and the assessment of the statistical uncertainty of the outcomes of disaggregation. The empirical analysis focuses mainly on GDP and its growth in the context of Poland. However, all of the methods discussed can be easily applied to other countries. The approach used in the book views spatial and temporal disaggregation as a special case of the estimation of missing observations (a topic on missing data analysis). The book presents an econometric course of models of Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations (SURE). The main advantage of using the SURE specification is to tackle the presented research problem so that it allows for the heterogeneity of the parameters describing relations between macroeconomic indicators. The book contains model specification, as well as descriptions of stochastic assumptions and resulting procedures of estimation and testing. The method also addresses uncertainty in the estimates produced. All of the necessary tests and assumptions are presented in detail. The results are designed to serve as a source of invaluable information making regional analyses more convenient and - more importantly - comparable. It will create a solid basis for making conclusions and recommendations concerning regional economic policy in Poland, particularly regarding the assessment of the economic situation. This is essential reading for academics, researchers, and economists with regional analysis as their field of expertise, as well as central bankers and policymakers.

Data Analytics, Computational Statistics, and Operations Research for Engineers - Methodologies and Applications (Hardcover):... Data Analytics, Computational Statistics, and Operations Research for Engineers - Methodologies and Applications (Hardcover)
Debabrata Samanta, Naveen Chilamkurti, Mohammad Hammoudeh, S. K. Hafizul Islam
R4,221 Discovery Miles 42 210 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

With the rapidly advancing fields of Data Analytics and Computational Statistics, it's important to keep up with current trends, methodologies, and applications. This book investigates the role of data mining in computational statistics for machine learning. It offers applications that can be used in various domains and examines the role of transformation functions in optimizing problem statements. Data Analytics, Computational Statistics, and Operations Research for Engineers: Methodologies and Applications presents applications of computationally intensive methods, inference techniques, and survival analysis models. It discusses how data mining extracts information and how machine learning improves the computational model based on the new information. Those interested in this reference work will include students, professionals, and researchers working in the areas of data mining, computational statistics, operations research, and machine learning.

Keeping Races in Their Places - The Dividing Lines That Shaped the American City (Paperback): Anthony Orlando Keeping Races in Their Places - The Dividing Lines That Shaped the American City (Paperback)
Anthony Orlando
R1,004 Discovery Miles 10 040 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

"A book perfect for this moment" -Katherine M. O'Regan, Former Assistant Secretary, US Department of Housing and Urban Development More than fifty years after the passage of the Fair Housing Act, American cities remain divided along the very same lines that this landmark legislation explicitly outlawed. Keeping Races in Their Places tells the story of these lines-who drew them, why they drew them, where they drew them, and how they continue to circumscribe residents' opportunities to this very day. Weaving together sophisticated statistical analyses of more than a century's worth of data with an engaging, accessible narrative that brings the numbers to life, Keeping Races in Their Places exposes the entrenched effects of redlining on American communities. This one-of-a-kind contribution to the real estate and urban economics literature applies the author's original geographic information systems analyses to historical maps to reveal redlining's causal role in shaping today's cities. Spanning the era from the Great Migration to the Great Recession, Keeping Races in Their Places uncovers the roots of the Black-white wealth gap, the subprime lending crisis, and today's lack of affordable housing in maps created by banks nearly a century ago. Most of all, it offers hope that with the latest scholarly tools we can pinpoint how things went wrong-and what we must do to make them right.

R Companion for Sampling - Design and Analysis, Third Edition (Hardcover): Yan Lu, Sharon L Lohr R Companion for Sampling - Design and Analysis, Third Edition (Hardcover)
Yan Lu, Sharon L Lohr
R2,351 Discovery Miles 23 510 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Contains information for using R software with the examples in the textbook Sampling: Design and Analysis, 3rd edition by Sharon L. Lohr.

Applied Data-Centric Social Sciences - Concepts, Data, Computation, and Theory (Hardcover, 2014 ed.): Aki-Hiro Sato Applied Data-Centric Social Sciences - Concepts, Data, Computation, and Theory (Hardcover, 2014 ed.)
Aki-Hiro Sato
R3,130 R1,959 Discovery Miles 19 590 Save R1,171 (37%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Applied data-centric social sciences aim to develop both methodology and practical applications of various fields of sciences and businesses with rich data. Specifically, in the social sciences, a vast amount of data on human activities may be useful for understanding collective human nature. In this book, the author introduces several mathematical techniques for handling a huge volume of data and analyzing collective human behavior. The book is constructed from data-oriented investigation, with mathematical methods and expressions used for dealing with data for several specific problems. The fundamental philosophy underlying the book is that both mathematical and physical concepts are determined by the purposes of data analysis. This philosophy is shown throughout exemplar studies of several fields in socio-economic systems. From a data-centric point of view, the author proposes a concept that may change people s minds and cause them to start thinking from the basis of data. Several goals underlie the chapters of the book. The first is to describe mathematical and statistical methods for data analysis, and toward that end the author delineates methods with actual data in each chapter. The second is to find a cyber-physical link between data and data-generating mechanisms, as data are always provided by some kind of data-generating process in the real world. The third goal is to provide an impetus for the concepts and methodology set forth in this book to be applied to socio-economic systems."

The Sharpe Ratio - Statistics and Applications (Hardcover): Steven E. Pav The Sharpe Ratio - Statistics and Applications (Hardcover)
Steven E. Pav
R3,249 Discovery Miles 32 490 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

1. Material on single asset problems, market timing, unconditional and conditional portfolio problems, hedged portfolios. 2. Inference via both Frequentist and Bayesian paradigms. 3. A comprehensive treatment of overoptimism and overfitting of trading strategies. 4. Advice on backtesting strategies. 5. Dozens of examples and hundreds of exercises for self study.

The Method of Multiple Hypotheses - A Guide for Professional and Academic Researchers (Hardcover): Charles S. Reichardt The Method of Multiple Hypotheses - A Guide for Professional and Academic Researchers (Hardcover)
Charles S. Reichardt
R4,194 Discovery Miles 41 940 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

There isn't a book currently on the market which focuses on multiple hypotheses testing. - Can be used on a range of course, including social & behavioral sciences, biological sciences, as well as professional researchers. Includes various examples of the multiple hypotheses method in practice in a variety of fields, including: sport and crime.

A First Course in Linear Model Theory (Hardcover, 2nd edition): Nalini Ravishanker, Zhiyi Chi, Dipak K. Dey A First Course in Linear Model Theory (Hardcover, 2nd edition)
Nalini Ravishanker, Zhiyi Chi, Dipak K. Dey
R2,723 Discovery Miles 27 230 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Thoroughly updated throughout, A First Course in Linear Model Theory, Second Edition is an intermediate-level statistics text that fills an important gap by presenting the theory of linear statistical models at a level appropriate for senior undergraduate or first-year graduate students. With an innovative approach, the authors introduce to students the mathematical and statistical concepts and tools that form a foundation for studying the theory and applications of both univariate and multivariate linear models. In addition to adding R functionality, this second edition features three new chapters and several sections on new topics that are extremely relevant to the current research in statistical methodology. Revised or expanded topics include linear fixed, random and mixed effects models, generalized linear models, Bayesian and hierarchical linear models, model selection, multiple comparisons, and regularized and robust regression. New to the Second Edition: Coverage of inference for linear models has been expanded into two chapters. Expanded coverage of multiple comparisons, random and mixed effects models, model selection, and missing data. A new chapter on generalized linear models (Chapter 12). A new section on multivariate linear models in Chapter 13, and expanded coverage of the Bayesian linear models and longitudinal models. A new section on regularized regression in Chapter 14. Detailed data illustrations using R. The authors' fresh approach, methodical presentation, wealth of examples, use of R, and introduction to topics beyond the classical theory set this book apart from other texts on linear models. It forms a refreshing and invaluable first step in students' study of advanced linear models, generalized linear models, nonlinear models, and dynamic models.

Probability, Choice, and Reason (Hardcover): Leighton Vaughan-Williams Probability, Choice, and Reason (Hardcover)
Leighton Vaughan-Williams
R4,508 Discovery Miles 45 080 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Much of our thinking is flawed because it is based on faulty intuition. By using the framework and tools of probability and statistics, we can overcome this to provide solutions to many real-world problems and paradoxes. We show how to do this, and find answers that are frequently very contrary to what we might expect. Along the way, we venture into diverse realms and thought experiments which challenge the way that we see the world. Features: An insightful and engaging discussion of some of the key ideas of probabilistic and statistical thinking Many classic and novel problems, paradoxes, and puzzles An exploration of some of the big questions involving the use of choice and reason in an uncertain world The application of probability, statistics, and Bayesian methods to a wide range of subjects, including economics, finance, law, and medicine Exercises, references, and links for those wishing to cross-reference or to probe further Solutions to exercises at the end of the book This book should serve as an invaluable and fascinating resource for university, college, and high school students who wish to extend their reading, as well as for teachers and lecturers who want to liven up their courses while retaining academic rigour. It will also appeal to anyone who wishes to develop skills with numbers or has an interest in the many statistical and other paradoxes that permeate our lives. Indeed, anyone studying the sciences, social sciences, or humanities on a formal or informal basis will enjoy and benefit from this book.

Linear Regression Models - Applications in R (Paperback): John P. Hoffmann Linear Regression Models - Applications in R (Paperback)
John P. Hoffmann
R2,186 Discovery Miles 21 860 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

*Furnishes a thorough introduction and detailed information about the linear regression model, including how to understand and interpret its results, test assumptions, and adapt the model when assumptions are not satisfied. *Uses numerous graphs in R to illustrate the model's results, assumptions, and other features. *Does not assume a background in calculus or linear algebra; rather, an introductory statistics course and familiarity with elementary algebra are sufficient. *Provides many examples using real world datasets relevant to various academic disciplines. *Fully integrates the R software environment in its numerous examples.

How to Divide When There Isn't Enough - From Aristotle, the Talmud, and Maimonides to the Axiomatics of Resource... How to Divide When There Isn't Enough - From Aristotle, the Talmud, and Maimonides to the Axiomatics of Resource Allocation (Hardcover)
William Thomson
R4,017 Discovery Miles 40 170 Ships in 18 - 22 working days

How to Divide When There Isn't Enough develops a rigorous yet accessible presentation of the state-of-the-art for the adjudication of conflicting claims and the theory of taxation. It covers all aspects one may wish to know about claims problems: the most important rules, the most important axioms, and how these two sets are related. More generally, it also serves as an introduction to the modern theory of economic design, which in the last twenty years has revolutionized many areas of economics, generating a wide range of applicable allocations rules that have improved people's lives in many ways. In developing the theory, the book employs a variety of techniques that will appeal to both experts and non-experts. Compiling decades of research into a single framework, William Thomson provides numerous applications that will open a large number of avenues for future research.

The Oxford Handbook of Applied Nonparametric and Semiparametric Econometrics and Statistics (Hardcover): Jeffrey Racine,... The Oxford Handbook of Applied Nonparametric and Semiparametric Econometrics and Statistics (Hardcover)
Jeffrey Racine, Liangjun Su, Aman Ullah
R4,693 Discovery Miles 46 930 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

This volume, edited by Jeffrey Racine, Liangjun Su, and Aman Ullah, contains the latest research on nonparametric and semiparametric econometrics and statistics. These data-driven models seek to replace the "classical " parametric models of the past, which were rigid and often linear. Chapters by leading international econometricians and statisticians highlight the interface between econometrics and statistical methods for nonparametric and semiparametric procedures. They provide a balanced view of new developments in the analysis and modeling of applied sciences with cross-section, time series, panel, and spatial data sets. The major topics of the volume include: the methodology of semiparametric models and special regressor methods; inverse, ill-posed, and well-posed problems; different methodologies related to additive models; sieve regression estimators, nonparametric and semiparametric regression models, and the true error of competing approximate models; support vector machines and their modeling of default probability; series estimation of stochastic processes and some of their applications in Econometrics; identification, estimation, and specification problems in a class of semilinear time series models; nonparametric and semiparametric techniques applied to nonstationary or near nonstationary variables; the estimation of a set of regression equations; and a new approach to the analysis of nonparametric models with exogenous treatment assignment.

The Method of Multiple Hypotheses - A Guide for Professional and Academic Researchers (Paperback): Charles S. Reichardt The Method of Multiple Hypotheses - A Guide for Professional and Academic Researchers (Paperback)
Charles S. Reichardt
R1,736 Discovery Miles 17 360 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

There isn't a book currently on the market which focuses on multiple hypotheses testing. - Can be used on a range of course, including social & behavioral sciences, biological sciences, as well as professional researchers. Includes various examples of the multiple hypotheses method in practice in a variety of fields, including: sport and crime.

Protecting Your Privacy in a Data-Driven World (Hardcover): Claire McKay Bowen Protecting Your Privacy in a Data-Driven World (Hardcover)
Claire McKay Bowen
R1,918 Discovery Miles 19 180 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Explains modern SDC techniques for data stewards and develop tools to implement them. Explains the logic behind modern privacy protections for researchers and how they may use publicly released data to generate valid statistical inferences-as well as the limitations imposed by SDC techniques.

Introduction to Statistical Decision Theory - Utility Theory and Causal Analysis (Paperback): Silvia Bacci, Bruno Chiandotto Introduction to Statistical Decision Theory - Utility Theory and Causal Analysis (Paperback)
Silvia Bacci, Bruno Chiandotto
R1,504 Discovery Miles 15 040 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Introduction to Statistical Decision Theory: Utility Theory and Causal Analysis provides the theoretical background to approach decision theory from a statistical perspective. It covers both traditional approaches, in terms of value theory and expected utility theory, and recent developments, in terms of causal inference. The book is specifically designed to appeal to students and researchers that intend to acquire a knowledge of statistical science based on decision theory. Features Covers approaches for making decisions under certainty, risk, and uncertainty Illustrates expected utility theory and its extensions Describes approaches to elicit the utility function Reviews classical and Bayesian approaches to statistical inference based on decision theory Discusses the role of causal analysis in statistical decision theory

Analysis of Integrated Data (Paperback): Li-Chun Zhang, Raymond L. Chambers Analysis of Integrated Data (Paperback)
Li-Chun Zhang, Raymond L. Chambers
R1,577 Discovery Miles 15 770 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

The advent of "Big Data" has brought with it a rapid diversification of data sources, requiring analysis that accounts for the fact that these data have often been generated and recorded for different reasons. Data integration involves combining data residing in different sources to enable statistical inference, or to generate new statistical data for purposes that cannot be served by each source on its own. This can yield significant gains for scientific as well as commercial investigations. However, valid analysis of such data should allow for the additional uncertainty due to entity ambiguity, whenever it is not possible to state with certainty that the integrated source is the target population of interest. Analysis of Integrated Data aims to provide a solid theoretical basis for this statistical analysis in three generic settings of entity ambiguity: statistical analysis of linked datasets that may contain linkage errors; datasets created by a data fusion process, where joint statistical information is simulated using the information in marginal data from non-overlapping sources; and estimation of target population size when target units are either partially or erroneously covered in each source. Covers a range of topics under an overarching perspective of data integration. Focuses on statistical uncertainty and inference issues arising from entity ambiguity. Features state of the art methods for analysis of integrated data. Identifies the important themes that will define future research and teaching in the statistical analysis of integrated data. Analysis of Integrated Data is aimed primarily at researchers and methodologists interested in statistical methods for data from multiple sources, with a focus on data analysts in the social sciences, and in the public and private sectors.

Statistical Portfolio Estimation (Paperback): Masanobu Taniguchi, Hiroshi Shiraishi, Junichi Hirukawa, Hiroko Kato Solvang,... Statistical Portfolio Estimation (Paperback)
Masanobu Taniguchi, Hiroshi Shiraishi, Junichi Hirukawa, Hiroko Kato Solvang, Takashi Yamashita
R1,883 Discovery Miles 18 830 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

The composition of portfolios is one of the most fundamental and important methods in financial engineering, used to control the risk of investments. This book provides a comprehensive overview of statistical inference for portfolios and their various applications. A variety of asset processes are introduced, including non-Gaussian stationary processes, nonlinear processes, non-stationary processes, and the book provides a framework for statistical inference using local asymptotic normality (LAN). The approach is generalized for portfolio estimation, so that many important problems can be covered. This book can primarily be used as a reference by researchers from statistics, mathematics, finance, econometrics, and genomics. It can also be used as a textbook by senior undergraduate and graduate students in these fields.

Principles of Copula Theory (Paperback): Fabrizio Durante, Carlo Sempi Principles of Copula Theory (Paperback)
Fabrizio Durante, Carlo Sempi
R1,875 Discovery Miles 18 750 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Principles of Copula Theory explores the state of the art on copulas and provides you with the foundation to use copulas in a variety of applications. Throughout the book, historical remarks and further readings highlight active research in the field, including new results, streamlined presentations, and new proofs of old results. After covering the essentials of copula theory, the book addresses the issue of modeling dependence among components of a random vector using copulas. It then presents copulas from the point of view of measure theory, compares methods for the approximation of copulas, and discusses the Markov product for 2-copulas. The authors also examine selected families of copulas that possess appealing features from both theoretical and applied viewpoints. The book concludes with in-depth discussions on two generalizations of copulas: quasi- and semi-copulas. Although copulas are not the solution to all stochastic problems, they are an indispensable tool for understanding several problems about stochastic dependence. This book gives you the solid and formal mathematical background to apply copulas to a range of mathematical areas, such as probability, real analysis, measure theory, and algebraic structures.

Adversarial Risk Analysis (Paperback): David L. Banks, Jesus M. Rios Aliaga, David Rios Insua Adversarial Risk Analysis (Paperback)
David L. Banks, Jesus M. Rios Aliaga, David Rios Insua
R1,459 Discovery Miles 14 590 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Winner of the 2017 De Groot Prize awarded by the International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) A relatively new area of research, adversarial risk analysis (ARA) informs decision making when there are intelligent opponents and uncertain outcomes. Adversarial Risk Analysis develops methods for allocating defensive or offensive resources against intelligent adversaries. Many examples throughout illustrate the application of the ARA approach to a variety of games and strategic situations. Focuses on the recent subfield of decision analysis, ARA Compares ideas from decision theory and game theory Uses multi-agent influence diagrams (MAIDs) throughout to help readers visualize complex information structures Applies the ARA approach to simultaneous games, auctions, sequential games, and defend-attack games Contains an extended case study based on a real application in railway security, which provides a blueprint for how to perform ARA in similar security situations Includes exercises at the end of most chapters, with selected solutions at the back of the book The book shows decision makers how to build Bayesian models for the strategic calculation of their opponents, enabling decision makers to maximize their expected utility or minimize their expected loss. This new approach to risk analysis asserts that analysts should use Bayesian thinking to describe their beliefs about an opponent's goals, resources, optimism, and type of strategic calculation, such as minimax and level-k thinking. Within that framework, analysts then solve the problem from the perspective of the opponent while placing subjective probability distributions on all unknown quantities. This produces a distribution over the actions of the opponent and enables analysts to maximize their expected utilities.

Time Series - A First Course with Bootstrap Starter (Paperback): Tucker S McElroy, Dimitris N. Politis Time Series - A First Course with Bootstrap Starter (Paperback)
Tucker S McElroy, Dimitris N. Politis
R1,354 Discovery Miles 13 540 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Time Series: A First Course with Bootstrap Starter provides an introductory course on time series analysis that satisfies the triptych of (i) mathematical completeness, (ii) computational illustration and implementation, and (iii) conciseness and accessibility to upper-level undergraduate and M.S. students. Basic theoretical results are presented in a mathematically convincing way, and the methods of data analysis are developed through examples and exercises parsed in R. A student with a basic course in mathematical statistics will learn both how to analyze time series and how to interpret the results. The book provides the foundation of time series methods, including linear filters and a geometric approach to prediction. The important paradigm of ARMA models is studied in-depth, as well as frequency domain methods. Entropy and other information theoretic notions are introduced, with applications to time series modeling. The second half of the book focuses on statistical inference, the fitting of time series models, as well as computational facets of forecasting. Many time series of interest are nonlinear in which case classical inference methods can fail, but bootstrap methods may come to the rescue. Distinctive features of the book are the emphasis on geometric notions and the frequency domain, the discussion of entropy maximization, and a thorough treatment of recent computer-intensive methods for time series such as subsampling and the bootstrap. There are more than 600 exercises, half of which involve R coding and/or data analysis. Supplements include a website with 12 key data sets and all R code for the book's examples, as well as the solutions to exercises.

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