Incoming Asteroid is based on a project within ASTRA (the
Association in Scotland to Research into Astronautics) to provide
scientific answers to the question what would we do if we knew
there was going to be an asteroid impact in ten years time or
less?
Clearly there are many things humanity can do nothing about, for
example an unseen object traveling towards us so fast that we have
no time to prepare, or an object so large it may be unstoppable. A
realistic hazard model was decided upon, and the scenario developed
from that: an incoming object about 1 kilometer in diameter, in an
orbit ranging from the outer rim of the Asteroid Belt to within
that of Earth s.
Three basic possibilities are considered in this book. The first is
the deflection of the asteroid, using remote probes along with a
number of possible technologies to change the asteroid s course.
Second is the attempt of a manned mission, in order to plant a
propulsion system on the asteroid to push it into a different
orbit. Third is the nuclear option, a last-ditch attempt to break
up and then disperse the asteroid using nuclear weapons. (A rather
impractical combination of these second and third options were used
as the plot of the popular 1998 Bruce Willis feature film,
Armageddon.)
Although the cost of developing the technology needed to protect
the Earth would be substantial, there would certainly be spin-off
benefits. These could eventually result in practical small-scale
atomic energy sources, new propulsion systems that could make
extraterrestrial mining within the solar system a possibility, and
other as-yet unforeseen benefits.
And finally, Incoming Asteroid considers the political
implications - how governments across the world should best react
to the threat with a view to minimizing loss of life, and in the
weeks running up to the possible impact, preventing panic in the
population."
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