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Predicting the Future - Completing Models of Observed Complex Systems (Hardcover, 2013 ed.)
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Predicting the Future - Completing Models of Observed Complex Systems (Hardcover, 2013 ed.)
Series: Understanding Complex Systems
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Through the development of an exact path integral for use in
transferring information from observations to a model of the
observed system, the author provides a general framework for the
discussion of model building and evaluation across disciplines.
Through many illustrative examples drawn from models in
neuroscience, geosciences, and nonlinear electrical circuits, the
concepts are exemplified in detail. Practical numerical methods for
approximate evaluations of the path integral are explored, and
their use in designing experiments and determining a model's
consistency with observations is explored.
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