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Bayesian Demographic Estimation and Forecasting (Paperback)
Loot Price: R1,366
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Bayesian Demographic Estimation and Forecasting (Paperback)
Series: Chapman & Hall/CRC Statistics in the Social and Behavioral Sciences
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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Bayesian Demographic Estimation and Forecasting presents three
statistical frameworks for modern demographic estimation and
forecasting. The frameworks draw on recent advances in statistical
methodology to provide new tools for tackling challenges such as
disaggregation, measurement error, missing data, and combining
multiple data sources. The methods apply to single demographic
series, or to entire demographic systems. The methods unify
estimation and forecasting, and yield detailed measures of
uncertainty. The book assumes minimal knowledge of statistics, and
no previous knowledge of demography. The authors have developed a
set of R packages implementing the methods. Data and code for all
applications in the book are available on www.bdef-book.com. "This
book will be welcome for the scientific community of
forecasters...as it presents a new approach which has already given
important results and which, in my opinion, will increase its
importance in the future." ~Daniel Courgeau, Institut national
d'etudes demographiques
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