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Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction (Paperback, Softcover reprint of hardcover 1st ed. 2003)
Loot Price: R2,783
Discovery Miles 27 830
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Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction (Paperback, Softcover reprint of hardcover 1st ed. 2003)
Series: Springer Series in Synergetics
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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Total price: R2,803
Discovery Miles: 28 030
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The vulnerability of our civilization to earthquakes is rapidly
growing, rais ing earthquakes to the ranks of major threats faced
by humankind. Earth quake prediction is necessary to reduce that
threat by undertaking disaster preparedness measures. This is one
of the critically urgent problems whose solution requires
fundamental research. At the same time, prediction is a ma jor tool
of basic science, a source of heuristic constraints and the final
test of theories. This volume summarizes the state-of-the-art in
earthquake prediction. Its following aspects are considered: -
Existing prediction algorithms and the quality of predictions they
pro vide. - Application of such predictions for damage reduction,
given their current accuracy, so far limited. - Fundamental
understanding of the lithosphere gained in earthquake prediction
research. - Emerging possibilities for major improvements of
earthquake prediction methods. - Potential implications for
predicting other disasters, besides earthquakes. Methodologies. At
the heart of the research described here is the inte gration of
three methodologies: phenomenological analysis of observations;
"universal" models of complex systems such as those considered in
statistical physics and nonlinear dynamics; and Earth-specific
models of tectonic fault networks. In addition, the theory of
optimal control is used to link earthquake prediction with
earthquake preparedness."
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