Innovations create both opportunities and dilemmas. They provide
new and supposedly better opportunities, but - because of their
newness - they are often more uncertain and potentially worse than
existing options. Recent inventions and discoveries include new
drugs, new energy sources, new foods, new manufacturing
technologies, new toys and new pedagogical methods, new weapon
systems, new home appliances and many other discoveries and
inventions. Is it better to use or not to use a new and promising
but unfamiliar and hence uncertain innovation? That dilemma faces
just about everybody. The paradigm of the innovation dilemma
characterizes many situations, even when a new technology is not
actually involved. The dilemma arises from new attitudes, like
individual responsibility for the global environment, or new social
conceptions, like global allegiance and self-identity transcending
nation-states. These dilemmas have far-reaching implications for
individuals, organizations, and society at large as they make
decisions in the age of innovation. The uncritical belief in
outcome-optimization - "more is better, so most is best" - pervades
decision-making in all domains, but is often irresponsible when
facing the uncertainties of innovation. There is a great need for
practical conceptual tools for understanding and managing the
dilemmas of innovation. This book offers a new direction for a wide
audience. It discusses examples from many fields, including
e-reading, bipolar disorder and pregnancy, disruptive technology in
industry, stock markets, agricultural productivity and world
hunger, military hardware, military intelligence, biological
conservation, on-line learning, and more.
General
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