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The Argumentative Turn in Policy Analysis - Reasoning about Uncertainty (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2016)
Loot Price: R3,793
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The Argumentative Turn in Policy Analysis - Reasoning about Uncertainty (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2016)
Series: Logic, Argumentation & Reasoning, 10
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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This book describes argumentative tools and strategies that can be
used to guide policy decisions under conditions of great
uncertainty. Contributing authors explore methods from
philosophical analysis and in particular argumentation analysis,
showing how it can be used to systematize discussions about policy
issues involving great uncertainty. The first part of the work
explores how to deal in a systematic way with decision-making when
there may be plural perspectives on the decision problem, along
with unknown consequences of what we do. Readers will see how
argumentation tools can be used for prioritizing among uncertain
dangers, for determining how decisions should be framed, for
choosing a suitable time frame for a decision, and for
systematically choosing among different decision options. Case
studies are presented in the second part of the book, showing
argumentation in practice in the areas of climate geoengineering,
water governance, synthetic biology, nuclear waste, and financial
markets. In one example, argumentation analysis is applied to
proposals to solve the climate problem with various technological
manipulations of the natural climate system, such as massive
dispersion of reflective aerosols into the stratosphere. Even after
a thorough investigation of such a proposal, doubt remains as to
whether all the potential risks have been identified. In such
discussions, conventional risk analysis does not have much to
contribute since it presupposes that the risks have been
identified, whereas the argumentative approach to uncertainty
management can be used to systematize discussions.
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