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Social Simulation for a Crisis - Results and Lessons from Simulating the COVID-19 Crisis (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2021)
Loot Price: R4,608
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Social Simulation for a Crisis - Results and Lessons from Simulating the COVID-19 Crisis (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2021)
Series: Computational Social Sciences
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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Simulating for a crisis is far more than creating a simulation of a
crisis situation. In order for a simulation to be useful during a
crisis, it should be created within the space of a few days to
allow decision makers to use it as quickly as possible.
Furthermore, during a crisis the aim is not to optimize just one
factor, but to balance various, interdependent aspects of life. In
the COVID-19 crisis, decisions had to be made concerning e.g.
whether to close schools and restaurants, and the (economic)
consequences of a 3 or 4-week lock-down had to be considered. As
such, rather than one simulation focusing on a very limited aspect,
a framework allowing the simulation of several different scenarios
focusing on different aspects of the crisis was required. Moreover,
the results of the simulations needed to be easily understandable
and explainable: if a simulation indicates that closing schools has
no effect, this can only be used if the decision makers can explain
why this is the case. This book describes how a simulation
framework was created for the COVID-19 crisis, and demonstrates how
it was used to simulate a wide range of scenarios that were
relevant for decision makers at the time. It also discusses the
usefulness of the approach, and explains the decisions that had to
be made along the way as well as the trade-offs. Lastly, the book
examines the lessons learned and the directions for the further
development of social simulation frameworks to make them better
suited to crisis situations, and to foster a more resilient
society.
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