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Books > Business & Economics > Economics > Economic forecasting
Developing Asia is forecast to expand by 5.9% in 2017 and 5.8% in
2018, a slight upgrade from projections in Asian Development
Outlook 2017. Growth prospects for developing Asia are looking up,
bolstered by a revival in world trade and strong momentum in the
People's Republic of China. Rebounds in international food and fuel
prices are gentler than expected, helping to contain consumer price
pressures. Inflation is likely to dip to 2.4% in 2017, or 0.1
percentage points off the 2016 rate, and pick up to 2.9% in 2018.
Risks to the outlook have become more balanced, as the advanced
economies have so far avoided sharp, unexpected changes to their
macroeconomic policies. Further, the fuel price rise is providing
fiscal relief to oil exporters but is measured enough not to
destabilize oil importers.
The US marijuana market generated a total revenue of $1.6B in 2013,
an estimated increase of 33% over 2012, exceeding industry
estimates by more than $100M. The marijuana market is less than 2%
of the US tobacco market, a $153.5B market that has no medicinal
value, and less than 1% of the alcohol market, which valued at
$197.8B in 2012. This market analysis provides information useful
to investors, existing business owners, entrepreneurs, and law
makers involved in the marijuana market.
So much to read, so little time? This brief overview of The Signal
and the Noise tells you what you need to know--before or after you
read Nate Silver's book. Crafted and edited with care, Worth Books
set the standard for quality and give you the tools you need to be
a well-informed reader. This short summary and analysis of The
Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver includes: Historical context
Chapter-by-chapter summaries Important quotes Fascinating trivia
Glossary of terms Supporting material to enhance your understanding
of the original work About The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver:
Drawing on groundbreaking research, The Signal and the Noise,
written by the founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight.com,
examines how data has been used in prediction and forecasting, and
how to find the true signals--the points that indicate that
something will happen--amidst noisy and distracting data.
Addressing different fields of forecasting and predictions--from
politics to earthquakes to poker--Silver explores the reasons why
some things are easier to forecast, like the weather, while others
are so difficult, such as terrorism. From one of the country's
smartest thinkers. The Signal and the Noise provides vital insights
into how to think about probability and predictions on the economy,
climate change, sports, and other subjects that impact our lives.
The summary and analysis in this book are intended to complement
your reading experience and bring you closer to a great work of
nonfiction.
It is more than fifteen years since Joseph Stiglitz wrote
Globalization and its Discontents, with the message that there is
evidence of much unhappiness with the way global reforms have been
taking place and how they have impacted developing and poor
countries. Stiglitz concluded that the main issue is not with
globalization, but rather that the process of management was very
much lacking. And now Stiglitz in his latest book, Rewriting the
Rules of the American Economy, has argued that the message he had
about globalization is now affecting the advanced economies.
Professor Jorgen Orstrom Moller is never one to evade the
complexities and subtleties of current affairs. He pursues the
issues of the day with an intellectual curiosity, clarity of
thought, and completeness that is enriched by his vast experience
in the Danish diplomatic service, policymaking and academia. In
this book he uses an interdisciplinary approach to discuss the
intrinsic issues, including globalization, that are shaping the
world.
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