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Books > Business & Economics > Economics > Economic forecasting
Economics: Beyond the Millennium contains articles by leading authorities in various fields of economic theory and econometrics. Each contributor gives an account of the current state of the art in their own field and indicates the direction that they think it will take in the next ten years. The book is split into three sections: the microfoundations of macroeconomics, markets and organization, and econometrics, with highlights including Malinvaud on resource allocation, Van Damme on game theory, and Gourieroux on econometric modelling.
Sufficient provisioning for health and social protection will help
support a swift, inclusive recovery in Pacific island countries.
This edition of the Pacific Economic Monitor discusses the outlook
for 2021 and key issues for recovery from the coronavirus disease
(COVID-19) crisis, including vaccine procurement and distribution.
Two Top McKinsey & Company Consultants Take a Look at the Future of Our Markets "The world is changing so significantly that competing in the near future will be very different from the way it has been in the recent past. Extraordinary changes are occurring in the financial markets and in the underlying reed economy and this new emerging economic structure inevitably will change how companies compete in a very fundamental way. …I know of no book that so clearly lays the intellectual foundation necessary to understand what has happened, what is happening, and what will happen." —from the Foreword by Ted W. Hall McKinsey Global Institute Our world is on the brink of the most dramatic economic change since the Industrial Revolution. Market Unbound is a sweeping account of the emerging global marketplace. In this new world order, discrete national economies will become a historical notion. As developed and developing countries integrate into a single, powerful economy, governments, businesses, and investors face the dual possibilities of extraordinary gains and terrifying losses. Providing a unique combination of economic and managerial perspectives, authors Lowell Bryan and Diana Farrell of McKinsey & Company, Inc., deliver cutting edge insights into the workings of the global economy. No business that is serious about remaining competitive into the twenty-first century can afford to ignore the compelling evidence that challenges our current conception of economic reality. A road map for a radically changed economic environment, Market Unbound is required reading for anyone who hopes to prosper in the coming century.
This report outlines economic prospects in developing Asia amid
global turbulence and lingering pandemic risks. It discusses the
implications of school closures and the invasion of Ukraine, and
explores mobilizing taxes for development. Developing Asia's
outlook remains positive, with growth of 5.2% expected in 2022 and
5.3% in 2023. Downside risks include spillover from geopolitical
tensions, such as via higher-than-expected commodity prices. The
Russian invasion of Ukraine has upended the global economic outlook
and greatly amplified uncertainty for a world economy still
contending with COVID-19. Aggressive monetary policy tightening in
the United States could lead to financial instability. In the
medium term, scarring from the pandemic poses significant risks,
including learning losses from continued school closures that could
worsen economic inequality. The region's economies urgently need to
mobilize fiscal resources to restore the health of public finances
and build a more inclusive and sustainable future. Opportunities to
strengthen revenue will depend on specific circumstances, but more
efficient value-added tax and better-optimized tax incentives hold
promise for many economies. Strengthening personal income and
property taxes can raise additional revenue and make tax systems
more progressive. Significant opportunities exist to expand the use
of tax and other fiscal instruments to tackle environmental and
health priorities while raising revenue.
Growth in the region is expected to slow sharply to 2.2% in 2020
under the effects of the current health emergency and then rebound
to 6.2% in 2021. Excluding Asia's high-income newly industrialized
economies, growth will drop from 5.7% to 2.4% this year before
recovering to 6.7% next year. Headline inflation accelerated in
2019 as food prices edged up but remained low by historical
standards. Inflation will climb further to 3.2% in 2020, but
declining food prices in the latter half of the year will set the
stage for easing inflation in 2021. Downside risks to the outlook
are severe, most notably from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
In these difficult times, when challenges to growth abound,
innovation is critical to inclusive and environmentally sustainable
growth. While some economies in developing Asia are near or at the
global innovation frontier, many others lag behind. This issue of
the Asian Development Outlook includes a Special Topic: The Impact
of the Coronavirus Outbreak-An Update.
Introduction to Econometrics provides students with clear and
simple mathematics notation and step-by-step explanations of
mathematical proofs, to give them a thorough understanding of the
subject. Extensive exercises throughout build confidence by
encouraging students to apply econometric techniques. Retaining its
student-friendly approach, Introduction to Econometrics has a
comprehensive revision guide to all the essential statistical
concepts needed to study econometrics, additional Monte Carlo
simulations, new summaries, and non-technical introductions to more
advanced topics at the end of chapters. This book is supported by
an Online Resource Centre, which includes: For lecturers: *
Instructor's manual for the text and data sets, detailing the
exercises and their solutions. * Customizable PowerPoint slides.
For students: * Data sets referred to in the book. * A
comprehensive study guide offers students the opportunity to gain
experience with econometrics through practice with exercises. *
Software manual. * PowerPoint slides with explanations.
The ASEAN+3 Bond Market Guide: Exchange Bond Market in the People's
Republic of China is an outcome of the strong support and kind
contributions of ASEAN+3 Bond Market Forum members and experts,
particularly those from the country. It is part of the ASEAN+3 Bond
Market Guide series which provides country-specific information on
the investment climate, rules, laws, opportunities, and
characteristics of local bond markets in Asia and the Pacific. It
aims to help bond market issuers, investors, and financial
intermediaries understand the local context and encourage greater
participation in the region's rapidly developing bond markets.
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