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Books > Business & Economics > Economics > Economic forecasting
This report is a partial result of the China's Quarterly
Macroeconometric Model (CQMM), a project developed and maintained
by the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen
University. The CMR is one of the Key Research Institutes of
Humanities and Social Sciences sponsored by the Ministry of
Education of China, focusing on China's economic forecast and
macroeconomic policy analysis. The CMR started to develop the CQMM
for purpose of short-term forecasting, policy analysis, and
simulation in 2005. Based on the CQMM, the CMR and its partners
hold press conferences to release forecasts for China' major
macroeconomic variables. Since July, 2006, twenty-two quarterly
reports on China's macroeconomic outlook have been presented and
eleventh annual reports have been published. This 23rd quarterly
report is to be presented at the Forum on China's Macroeconomic
Outlook and Press Conference of CQMM on October 27, 2017. This
conference is jointly held at Oxford University by Oxford Prospects
and Global Development Centre, University of Oxford, Center for
Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University, and Economic
Information Daily at Xinhua News Agency.
Countries regularly track gross domestic product (GDP) as an
indicator of their economic progress, but not wealth - the assets
such as infrastructure, forests, minerals, and human capital that
produce GDP. In contrast, corporations routinely report on both
their income and assets to assess their economic health and
prospects for the future. Wealth accounts allow countries to take
stock of their assets to monitor the sustainability of development,
an urgent concern today for all countries. The Changing Wealth of
Nations 2018: Building a Sustainable Future covers national wealth
for 141 countries over 20 years (1995-2014) as the sum of produced
capital, 19 types of natural capital, net foreign assets, and human
capital overall as well as by gender and type of employment. Great
progress has been made in estimating wealth since the fi rst
volume, Where Is the Wealth of Nations? Measuring Capital for the
21st Century, was published in 2006. New data substantially improve
estimates of natural capital, and, for the first time, human
capital is measured by using household surveys to estimate lifetime
earnings. The Changing Wealth of Nations 2018 begins with a review
of global and regional trends in wealth over the past two decades
and provides examples of how wealth accounts can be used for the
analysis of development patterns. Several chapters discuss the new
work on human capital and its application in development policy.
The book then tackles elements of natural capital that are not yet
fully incorporated in the wealth accounts: air pollution, marine
fisheries, and ecosystems. This book targets policy makers but will
engage anyone committed to building a sustainable future for the
planet.
Supply chain professionals: master pioneering techniques for
integrating demand and supply, and create demand forecasts that are
far more accurate and useful! In Demand and Supply Integration, Dr.
Mark Moon presents the specific design characteristics of a
world-class demand forecasting management process, showing how to
effectively integrate demand forecasting within a comprehensive
Demand and Supply Integration (DSI) process. Writing for supply
chain professionals in any business, government agency, or military
procurement organization, Moon explains what DSI is, how it differs
from approaches such as S&OP, and how to recognize the symptoms
of failures to sufficiently integrate demand and supply. He
outlines the key characteristics of successful DSI implementations,
shows how to approach Demand Forecasting as a management process,
and guides you through understanding, selecting, and applying the
best available qualitative and quantitative forecasting techniques.
You'll learn how to thoroughly reflect market intelligence in your
forecasts; measure your forecasting performance; implement
state-of-the-art demand forecasting systems; manage Demand Reviews,
and much more.
This book offers a comprehensive overview of sustainability and
management in India and through its insightful essays highlights
the complex and multifaceted nature of sustainability as a concept.
It also demonstrates the debates surrounding the concept of
sustainability and its ramifications for ground-level practice in
managing organisations and for public policy. The contributions
from sustainability enthusiasts, practitioners from disparate
fields and academics working at the Indian Institute of Management
Calcutta, have been divided into five themes: (1) sustainability as
a normative concept; (2) sustainability concept at the global
level, (3) sustainability practices in Indian organisations and
consumer behaviour; (4) sustainability, corporate governance and
corporate social responsibility and (5) sustainability: a critique
of organisational practice and government regulation. The themes
reflect both new and continuing issues confronting management in
the country today. Examples and in-depth studies make it relevant
to the grounded reality in India. The expertise and experience of
the contributors ensure that readers are left with a grasp of our
current understanding of how sustainability is related to society
and business, the direction this understanding will take in the
future.
The articles in this volume are selected from the contributions to
two international conferences. Authors and teams tackle general
economic approaches and developments with respect to new concepts
for the production possibility frontier, the connection of
development and exports diversification and improvements to the
business process. Other contributors address economic
sustainability with respect to an institutional path to sustainable
growth, available financial instruments, behavioral models of
economic expectations, solutions for waste treatment as well as to
technological aspects related to security, privacy and IT
governance. Finally, a third group of authors discusses health
policy in the EU and postsecondary education in Bulgaria as aspects
of public welfare.
So much to read, so little time? This brief overview of The Signal
and the Noise tells you what you need to know--before or after you
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Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver includes: Historical context
Chapter-by-chapter summaries Important quotes Fascinating trivia
Glossary of terms Supporting material to enhance your understanding
of the original work About The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver:
Drawing on groundbreaking research, The Signal and the Noise,
written by the founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight.com,
examines how data has been used in prediction and forecasting, and
how to find the true signals--the points that indicate that
something will happen--amidst noisy and distracting data.
Addressing different fields of forecasting and predictions--from
politics to earthquakes to poker--Silver explores the reasons why
some things are easier to forecast, like the weather, while others
are so difficult, such as terrorism. From one of the country's
smartest thinkers. The Signal and the Noise provides vital insights
into how to think about probability and predictions on the economy,
climate change, sports, and other subjects that impact our lives.
The summary and analysis in this book are intended to complement
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