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Books > Business & Economics > Economics > Economic forecasting
What will South Africa look like in 2030? And how will the next fifteen years unfold?
Since leading scenario planner Frans Cronje published his bestseller A Time Traveller’s Guide to Our Next Ten Years, the country has changed rapidly. Political tensions have increased, economic performance has weakened and more and more South Africans are taking their frustrations to the street. What does this mean for the country’s future?
Cronje presents the most likely scenarios for South Africa’s future.
Hoe gaan Suid-Afrika in 2030 lyk? En hoe gaan die volgende 15 jaar ontvou?
Sedert die bekende scenariobeplanner Frans Cronje se blitsverkoper, A Time Traveller’s Guide to Our Next Ten Years, het die land dramaties verander. Politieke spanning het verhoog, die ekonomie het in die hek geduik en al meer Suid-Afrikaners wend hulle uit frustrasie straat toe.
Wat beteken dit vir die land se toekoms? Gaan die vonk in die kruitvat vlamvat of gaan ’n reenboog sy onverwagse verskyning maak?
It is more than fifteen years since Joseph Stiglitz wrote
Globalization and its Discontents, with the message that there is
evidence of much unhappiness with the way global reforms have been
taking place and how they have impacted developing and poor
countries. Stiglitz concluded that the main issue is not with
globalization, but rather that the process of management was very
much lacking. And now Stiglitz in his latest book, Rewriting the
Rules of the American Economy, has argued that the message he had
about globalization is now affecting the advanced economies.
Professor Jorgen Orstrom Moller is never one to evade the
complexities and subtleties of current affairs. He pursues the
issues of the day with an intellectual curiosity, clarity of
thought, and completeness that is enriched by his vast experience
in the Danish diplomatic service, policymaking and academia. In
this book he uses an interdisciplinary approach to discuss the
intrinsic issues, including globalization, that are shaping the
world.
Sub-Saharan Africa faces three big challenges over the next generation. It will double its population to two billion by 2045. By then more than half of Africans will be living in cities. And this group of mostly young people will be connected through mobile devices.
Properly harnessed and planned for, these are positive forces for change. Without economic growth and jobs, they could prove a political and social catastrophe. Old systems of patronage and muddling through will no longer work.
Making Africa Work is a practical account of how to ensure growth beyond commodities, and to create jobs. It’s a handbook for dynamic leadership inside and outside the continent.
So much to read, so little time? This brief overview of The Signal
and the Noise tells you what you need to know--before or after you
read Nate Silver's book. Crafted and edited with care, Worth Books
set the standard for quality and give you the tools you need to be
a well-informed reader. This short summary and analysis of The
Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver includes: Historical context
Chapter-by-chapter summaries Important quotes Fascinating trivia
Glossary of terms Supporting material to enhance your understanding
of the original work About The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver:
Drawing on groundbreaking research, The Signal and the Noise,
written by the founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight.com,
examines how data has been used in prediction and forecasting, and
how to find the true signals--the points that indicate that
something will happen--amidst noisy and distracting data.
Addressing different fields of forecasting and predictions--from
politics to earthquakes to poker--Silver explores the reasons why
some things are easier to forecast, like the weather, while others
are so difficult, such as terrorism. From one of the country's
smartest thinkers. The Signal and the Noise provides vital insights
into how to think about probability and predictions on the economy,
climate change, sports, and other subjects that impact our lives.
The summary and analysis in this book are intended to complement
your reading experience and bring you closer to a great work of
nonfiction.
The annual Asian Development Outlook analyzes economic performance
in the past year and offers forecasts for the next 2 years for the
45 economies in Asia and the Pacific that make up developing Asia.
Decades of rapid growth transformed developing Asia from a
low-income region to middle income. Sustaining growth to power the
transition to high income will depend on much greater improvement
in productivity. Innovation, human capital, and infrastructure are
the three pillars of productivity growth. Supportive institutions
and policies, underpinned by macroeconomic stability, can
strengthen all three pillars. Asia's dynamic track record suggests
that attaining high income status, while challenging, is
achievable.
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