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Books > Business & Economics > Economics > Economic forecasting
Developing Asia is forecast to expand by 5.9% in 2017 and 5.8% in
2018, a slight upgrade from projections in Asian Development
Outlook 2017. Growth prospects for developing Asia are looking up,
bolstered by a revival in world trade and strong momentum in the
People's Republic of China. Rebounds in international food and fuel
prices are gentler than expected, helping to contain consumer price
pressures. Inflation is likely to dip to 2.4% in 2017, or 0.1
percentage points off the 2016 rate, and pick up to 2.9% in 2018.
Risks to the outlook have become more balanced, as the advanced
economies have so far avoided sharp, unexpected changes to their
macroeconomic policies. Further, the fuel price rise is providing
fiscal relief to oil exporters but is measured enough not to
destabilize oil importers.
The US marijuana market generated a total revenue of $1.6B in 2013,
an estimated increase of 33% over 2012, exceeding industry
estimates by more than $100M. The marijuana market is less than 2%
of the US tobacco market, a $153.5B market that has no medicinal
value, and less than 1% of the alcohol market, which valued at
$197.8B in 2012. This market analysis provides information useful
to investors, existing business owners, entrepreneurs, and law
makers involved in the marijuana market.
Although all advanced industrial societies have urban and regional
developmentpolicies, such policy in the United States historically
has taken on a very distinct form. Compared with the more top-down,
centrally orchestrated approaches of Western European countries, US
cities and, to a lesser degree, states, take the lead, spurred on
by developers and those with interest in rent. This bottom-up
policy creates conflict as one city battles with another for new
investments and as real estate developers fight over the spoils,
resulting in highly contentious politics. In The Politics of Urban
and Regional Development and the American Exception, Cox addresses
the question of why US policy is so unique. In doing so, he
illustrates the essential characteristics of American regional
development through a series of case studies including housing
politics in Silicon Valley; the history of the Dallas-Fort Worth
International Airport; and a major redevelopment project that was
rebuffed in Columbus, Ohio. Cox contrasts these examples with
Western Europe's tradition of centralized governmental involvement
and stronger labor movements that historically have been more
concerned with creating what he calls "the good geography" than
profits for developers, whatever the shortfalls in policy outcomes
might be. The differences illuminate the peculiar nature of
political engagement and local competition in shaping the way US
urban development has evolved.
What will South Africa look like in 2030? And how will the next fifteen years unfold?
Since leading scenario planner Frans Cronje published his bestseller A Time Traveller’s Guide to Our Next Ten Years, the country has changed rapidly. Political tensions have increased, economic performance has weakened and more and more South Africans are taking their frustrations to the street. What does this mean for the country’s future?
Cronje presents the most likely scenarios for South Africa’s future.
Hoe gaan Suid-Afrika in 2030 lyk? En hoe gaan die volgende 15 jaar ontvou?
Sedert die bekende scenariobeplanner Frans Cronje se blitsverkoper, A Time Traveller’s Guide to Our Next Ten Years, het die land dramaties verander. Politieke spanning het verhoog, die ekonomie het in die hek geduik en al meer Suid-Afrikaners wend hulle uit frustrasie straat toe.
Wat beteken dit vir die land se toekoms? Gaan die vonk in die kruitvat vlamvat of gaan ’n reenboog sy onverwagse verskyning maak?
It is more than fifteen years since Joseph Stiglitz wrote
Globalization and its Discontents, with the message that there is
evidence of much unhappiness with the way global reforms have been
taking place and how they have impacted developing and poor
countries. Stiglitz concluded that the main issue is not with
globalization, but rather that the process of management was very
much lacking. And now Stiglitz in his latest book, Rewriting the
Rules of the American Economy, has argued that the message he had
about globalization is now affecting the advanced economies.
Professor Jorgen Orstrom Moller is never one to evade the
complexities and subtleties of current affairs. He pursues the
issues of the day with an intellectual curiosity, clarity of
thought, and completeness that is enriched by his vast experience
in the Danish diplomatic service, policymaking and academia. In
this book he uses an interdisciplinary approach to discuss the
intrinsic issues, including globalization, that are shaping the
world.
Sub-Saharan Africa faces three big challenges over the next generation. It will double its population to two billion by 2045. By then more than half of Africans will be living in cities. And this group of mostly young people will be connected through mobile devices.
Properly harnessed and planned for, these are positive forces for change. Without economic growth and jobs, they could prove a political and social catastrophe. Old systems of patronage and muddling through will no longer work.
Making Africa Work is a practical account of how to ensure growth beyond commodities, and to create jobs. It’s a handbook for dynamic leadership inside and outside the continent.
So much to read, so little time? This brief overview of The Signal
and the Noise tells you what you need to know--before or after you
read Nate Silver's book. Crafted and edited with care, Worth Books
set the standard for quality and give you the tools you need to be
a well-informed reader. This short summary and analysis of The
Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver includes: Historical context
Chapter-by-chapter summaries Important quotes Fascinating trivia
Glossary of terms Supporting material to enhance your understanding
of the original work About The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver:
Drawing on groundbreaking research, The Signal and the Noise,
written by the founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight.com,
examines how data has been used in prediction and forecasting, and
how to find the true signals--the points that indicate that
something will happen--amidst noisy and distracting data.
Addressing different fields of forecasting and predictions--from
politics to earthquakes to poker--Silver explores the reasons why
some things are easier to forecast, like the weather, while others
are so difficult, such as terrorism. From one of the country's
smartest thinkers. The Signal and the Noise provides vital insights
into how to think about probability and predictions on the economy,
climate change, sports, and other subjects that impact our lives.
The summary and analysis in this book are intended to complement
your reading experience and bring you closer to a great work of
nonfiction.
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