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Books > Business & Economics > Economics > Economic forecasting
Most Pacific island countries appear to have avoided direct health
impacts from the coronavirus disease (COVID-19). Yet, the pandemic
highlights the need to strengthen their health and social
protection systems. This edition of the Pacific Economic Monitor
discusses the impacts of COVID-19 and provides an overview of other
current economic and development issues in Pacific developing
member countries of ADB.
This is the true story about the future that few visionaries have
the knowledge necessary to put together. In order to drive the
development of technology and sustainability forward there will be
a need for considerable investment and collective action. The need
to drive large-scale development and transformation activity is
usually overlooked when experts in narrow fields project present
trends into the future. The foundation of our future has been laid,
or maybe not, by past decisions and activities, or lack thereof, by
politicians and their voters. The enemy has already been identified
and many of us know that is it us, but few ofour leaders have a
picture of the path forward that needs to be taken in order to
create the future that many people already see as inevitable. We
try to contribute on the basis of different pictures of how the
future might be created, but large-scale changes cannot be achieved
through small-scale activities. It took 400,000 Americans and
almost ten years to send three men to the moon in 1969. The
following facts may be noted: the transformation to electric
mobility is still in its infancy; less than one per cent of cars
are electric and the growth is very slow in most countries.
Artificial intelligence is also at an early stage of development
and the technologies necessary in order to make Industry 4.0 a
reality are still too expensive to be applied on a large scale and
by most companies. The same is true for the principles of the
circular economy. So far mostly low-hanging fruit have been picked
and the principles have not been developed to a point where they
can be universally applied. In order to create the future that many
already see as inevitable there is a need for substantial
investment and even larger transformation programmes. If existing
generations want to experience it, instead of something much worse,
we need to get our act together and approach transformation in a
systematic manner. This book presents a well-founded argument about
the remedies of contemporary societal challenges, and offers a much
needed, sobered-uplook at the complex endeavors that lie ahead.
Larsson's book disentangles intricate concepts connected to
technology, business, industry and society, and does it free from
the jargon and romanticizing we often encounter in everyday
conversation. - Professor Thomas Kalling at Lund University School
of Economics & Management.
Growth in developing Asia is moderating but remains robust. As
global trade slows and investment weakens, regional growth
forecasts are trimmed from Asian Development Outlook 2019 by 0.3
percentage points for 2019 and by 0.1 points for 2020 compared to
April forecasts. The revisions reflect gloomier prospects for
international trade and evidence of slowing growth in the advanced
economies and the People's Republic of China, as well as in India
and the larger economies in East and Southeast Asia. Inflation
remains benign in the region, but pressure is building slightly as
food prices rise. Inflation across developing Asia is forecast at
2.7% this year and next, or 0.2 percentage points up from April
forecasts.
Africa is a continent with boundless potential — it has the natural resources, the population, and the landmass to become a major player on the global stage. Why then, is the gap between Africa and the rest of the world increasing?
While the continent has seen improvements in terms of key indicators of human wellbeing like infant mortality and life expectancy, Africa still suffers from massive poverty, weak economic growth, de-industrialisation, an underdeveloped agricultural sector and poor regional integration, among others. What needs to be done to unleash Africa’s potential and ignite a growth revolution?
In this book, Jakkie Cilliers examines where the continent is at and where it will be in 2040 if it continues on the current path.
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