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Books > Reference & Interdisciplinary > Communication studies > Decision theory

The Making of an Arti$t (Paperback): Warren Cullar The Making of an Arti$t (Paperback)
Warren Cullar
R373 Discovery Miles 3 730 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Artificial Intelligence (Paperback): S Meera Artificial Intelligence (Paperback)
S Meera
R315 Discovery Miles 3 150 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
The Thinker's Guide for Students on How to Study & Learn a Discipline (Paperback, Second Edition): Richard. Paul, Linda... The Thinker's Guide for Students on How to Study & Learn a Discipline (Paperback, Second Edition)
Richard. Paul, Linda Elder
R623 Discovery Miles 6 230 Ships in 12 - 19 working days
Medium Sudoku (Paperback): J L Rodimon Medium Sudoku (Paperback)
J L Rodimon
R451 Discovery Miles 4 510 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Sudoku - Medium (Paperback): J L Rodimon Sudoku - Medium (Paperback)
J L Rodimon
R447 Discovery Miles 4 470 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Rational Decisions (Paperback): Ken Binmore Rational Decisions (Paperback)
Ken Binmore
R822 Discovery Miles 8 220 Ships in 12 - 19 working days

It is widely held that Bayesian decision theory is the final word on how a rational person should make decisions. However, Leonard Savage--the inventor of Bayesian decision theory--argued that it would be ridiculous to use his theory outside the kind of small world in which it is always possible to "look before you leap." If taken seriously, this view makes Bayesian decision theory inappropriate for the large worlds of scientific discovery and macroeconomic enterprise. When is it correct to use Bayesian decision theory--and when does it need to be modified? Using a minimum of mathematics, "Rational Decisions" clearly explains the foundations of Bayesian decision theory and shows why Savage restricted the theory's application to small worlds.

The book is a wide-ranging exploration of standard theories of choice and belief under risk and uncertainty. Ken Binmore discusses the various philosophical attitudes related to the nature of probability and offers resolutions to paradoxes believed to hinder further progress. In arguing that the Bayesian approach to knowledge is inadequate in a large world, Binmore proposes an extension to Bayesian decision theory--allowing the idea of a mixed strategy in game theory to be expanded to a larger set of what Binmore refers to as "muddled" strategies.

Written by one of the world's leading game theorists, "Rational Decisions" is the touchstone for anyone needing a concise, accessible, and expert view on Bayesian decision making.

The Honest Kid (Paperback): Nita Candra The Honest Kid (Paperback)
Nita Candra; Lindsey Edward
R297 Discovery Miles 2 970 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
The Tale of Mac and Murphy - The Most Important Business Decision You'll Ever Make (Paperback): David Wayne Wimer The Tale of Mac and Murphy - The Most Important Business Decision You'll Ever Make (Paperback)
David Wayne Wimer
R548 Discovery Miles 5 480 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Decision Theory with a Human Face (Paperback): Richard Bradley Decision Theory with a Human Face (Paperback)
Richard Bradley
R1,040 Discovery Miles 10 400 Ships in 12 - 19 working days

When making decisions, people naturally face uncertainty about the potential consequences of their actions due in part to limits in their capacity to represent, evaluate or deliberate. Nonetheless, they aim to make the best decisions possible. In Decision Theory with a Human Face, Richard Bradley develops new theories of agency and rational decision-making, offering guidance on how 'real' agents who are aware of their bounds should represent the uncertainty they face, how they should revise their opinions as a result of experience and how they should make decisions when lacking full awareness of, or precise opinions on relevant contingencies. He engages with the strengths and flaws of Bayesian reasoning, and presents clear and comprehensive explorations of key issues in decision theory, from belief and desire to semantics and learning. His book draws on philosophy, economics, decision science and psychology, and will appeal to readers in all of these disciplines.

MEDIA, RISK AND SCIENCE (Paperback, Ed): Stuart Allan MEDIA, RISK AND SCIENCE (Paperback, Ed)
Stuart Allan
R892 Discovery Miles 8 920 Ships in 12 - 19 working days

* How is science represented by the media?
* Who defines what counts as a risk, threat or hazard, and why?
* In what ways do media images of science shape public perceptions?
* What can cultural and media studies tell us about current scientific controversies?
Media, Risk and Science is an exciting exploration into an array of important issues, providing a much needed framework for understanding key debates on how the media represent science and risk. In a highly effective way, Stuart Allan weaves together insights from multiple strands of research across diverse disciplines. Among the themes he examines are: the role of science in science fiction, such as Star Trek; the problem of 'pseudo-science' in The X-Files; and how science is displayed in science museums. Science journalism receives particular attention, with the processes by which science is made 'newsworthy' unravelled for careful scrutiny. The book also includes individual chapters devoted to how the media portray environmental risks, HIV-AIDS, food scares (such as BSE or 'mad cow disease' and GM foods) and human cloning. The result is a highly topical text that will be invaluable for students and scholars in cultural and media studies, science studies, journalism, sociology and politics.

Coronavirus and Business: The Insights You Need from Harvard Business Review (Paperback): Harvard Business Review Coronavirus and Business: The Insights You Need from Harvard Business Review (Paperback)
Harvard Business Review
R555 R510 Discovery Miles 5 100 Save R45 (8%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Lead your business through the crisis.

As the pandemic is exacting its toll on our lives and wreaking havoc in the global economy, HBR is helping companies and managers make sense of this unprecedented situation and lead employees through it. What should you and your company be doing right now to counter these challenges?

Coronavirus and Business: The Insights You Need from Harvard Business Review is a compilation of sixteen recent articles from HBR.org. It provides you with essential thinking about keeping your company running remotely, managing your business through disaster and recovery, and finding it within yourself to lead with resilience through the crisis.

Business is changing. Will you adapt or be left behind? Get up to speed and deepen your understanding of the topics that are shaping your company's future with the Insights You Need from Harvard Business Review series. Featuring HBR's smartest thinking on fast-moving issues--blockchain, cybersecurity, AI, and more--each book provides the foundational introduction and practical case studies your organization needs to compete today and collects the best research, interviews, and analysis to get it ready for tomorrow.

You can't afford to ignore how these issues will transform the landscape of business and society. The Insights You Need series will help you grasp these critical ideas--and prepare you and your company for the future.

Disaster Security - Using Intelligence and Military Planning for Energy and Environmental Risks (Hardcover): Chad M. Briggs,... Disaster Security - Using Intelligence and Military Planning for Energy and Environmental Risks (Hardcover)
Chad M. Briggs, Miriam Matejova
R2,765 Discovery Miles 27 650 Ships in 12 - 19 working days

This book is for a broad audience of practitioners, policymakers, scholars, and anyone interested in scenarios, simulations, and disaster planning. Readers are led through several different planning scenarios that have been developed over several years under the auspices of the US Department of Energy, the US Air Force, and continued work at GlobalInt LLC. These scenarios present different security challenges and their potential cascading impacts on global systems - from the melting of glaciers in the Andes, to hurricanes in New York and Hawaii, and on to hybrid disasters, cyberoperations and geoengineering. The book provides a concise and up-to-date overview of the 'lessons learned', with a focus on innovative solutions to the world's pressing energy and environmental security challenges.

Be Careful (Paperback): Nancy Cole Be Careful (Paperback)
Nancy Cole
R343 Discovery Miles 3 430 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
If I was Satan, I would... (Paperback): Larry a Yff If I was Satan, I would... (Paperback)
Larry a Yff
R250 Discovery Miles 2 500 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Sehen - Mehr ALS Eine Selbstverstaendlichkeit? - Chancen Und Grenzen Durch Den Einsatz Neuer Medien in Studium, Lehre Und... Sehen - Mehr ALS Eine Selbstverstaendlichkeit? - Chancen Und Grenzen Durch Den Einsatz Neuer Medien in Studium, Lehre Und Forschung (German, Hardcover)
Georg Feuser; Helen Zimmermann
R1,521 Discovery Miles 15 210 Ships in 12 - 19 working days

Studieren, Lehren und Forschen basieren heute weitgehend auf dem Einsatz neuer Medien. Dabei werden das Sehen und das Klicken mit der Maus als Selbstverstandlichkeit vorausgesetzt. Man nimmt an, dass alle in normaler Schrift Dokumente lesen koennen. Wie koennen aber Menschen mit visueller Beeintrachtigung bei den stark auf Visualisierung ausgerichteten Lernprozessen wirklich partizipieren? Das Ziel der Arbeit ist es, Einblicke in komplexe Barrieren in der visuellen Bildungslandschaft zu geben. Der Fokus liegt auf Interaktionsprozessen zwischen sehenden und nicht (gut) sehenden Lernenden. Wichtige Sachaspekte werden vermittelt und didaktische Elemente reflektiert. Im Rahmen einer Aktionsforschung werden am Beispiel der Universitat Zurich moegliche Loesungswege aufgezeigt.

life designing ( raising awareness for what matters) (Paperback): Amarjeet Singh life designing ( raising awareness for what matters) (Paperback)
Amarjeet Singh
R222 Discovery Miles 2 220 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Quantum of Your Reality - Sobconscious - what is visible and what is not visible (Paperback): Irena Dudek Quantum of Your Reality - Sobconscious - what is visible and what is not visible (Paperback)
Irena Dudek
R492 Discovery Miles 4 920 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Bildungsurlaub - Planung, Programm Und Partizipation - Eine Studie in Perspektivverschraenkung (German, Hardcover): Steffi... Bildungsurlaub - Planung, Programm Und Partizipation - Eine Studie in Perspektivverschraenkung (German, Hardcover)
Steffi Robak, Horst Rippien, Lena Heidemann, Claudia Pohlmann
R2,149 Discovery Miles 21 490 Ships in 12 - 19 working days

In einem perspektivverschrankenden Ansatz untersuchen die Autorinnen und der Autor die polyvalenten Wirkungen von Bildungsurlaub. Ausserdem befassen sie sich mit den durch die Gesetzesanderung evozierten Steuerungseffekten auf der Ebene der Anbieter und Angebote. Es werden daruber hinaus die professionellen Handlungsmodi der Programmplanung untersucht und die Interessens- und Verwertungszusammenhange der Teilnehmenden. Hintergrund ist die Tatsache, dass es in Deutschland nur wenige gesetzliche Regelungen gibt, die ein Recht des Einzelnen auf Weiterbildung sichern. Ein besonderes Beispiel sind die Landesgesetze zum Bildungsurlaub (auch Bildungsfreistellungsgesetze). Das Bundesland Bremen hat sein Bildungsurlaubsgesetz im Jahre 2010 novelliert und versucht die Teilnahmequote zu erhoehen, indem es das Spektrum an Bildungsurlaubsanbietern und Veranstaltungsformaten ausdifferenziert und erweitert.

Measuring Corporate Default Risk (Hardcover): Darrell Duffie Measuring Corporate Default Risk (Hardcover)
Darrell Duffie
R2,540 Discovery Miles 25 400 Ships in 12 - 19 working days

This book, based on the author's Clarendon Lectures in Finance, examines the empirical behavior of corporate default risk. A new and unified statistical methodology for default prediction, based on stochastic intensity modeling, is explained and implemented with data on U.S. public corporations since 1980. Special attention is given to the measurement of correlation of default risk across firms. The underlying work was developed in a series of collaborations over roughly the past decade with Sanjiv Das, Andreas Eckner, Guillaume Horel, Nikunj Kapadia, Leandro Saita, and Ke Wang. Where possible, the content based on methodology has been separated from the substantive empirical findings, in order to provide access to the latter for those less focused on the mathematical foundations.
A key finding is that corporate defaults are more clustered in time than would be suggested by their exposure to observable common or correlated risk factors. The methodology allows for hidden sources of default correlation, which are particularly important to include when estimating the likelihood that a portfolio of corporate loans will suffer large default losses. The data also reveal that a substantial amount of power for predicting the default of a corporation can be obtained from the firm's "distance to default," a volatility-adjusted measure of leverage that is the basis of the theoretical models of corporate debt pricing of Black, Scholes, and Merton. The findings are particularly relevant in the aftermath of the financial crisis, which revealed a lack of attention to the proper modelling of correlation of default risk across firms.

Where's My Mommy's Hair? (Paperback): Deidra Smith Where's My Mommy's Hair? (Paperback)
Deidra Smith
R270 Discovery Miles 2 700 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
It-Risiken in Der Vernetzten Produktion - Gefahren Technisch Und Finanziell Bewerten (German, Paperback, 1. Aufl. 2017 ed.):... It-Risiken in Der Vernetzten Produktion - Gefahren Technisch Und Finanziell Bewerten (German, Paperback, 1. Aufl. 2017 ed.)
Gregor Schlingermann
R1,349 Discovery Miles 13 490 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Decision Theory and Rationality (Hardcover): Jose Luis Bermudez Decision Theory and Rationality (Hardcover)
Jose Luis Bermudez
R2,451 Discovery Miles 24 510 Ships in 12 - 19 working days

The concept of rationality is a common thread through the human and social sciences -- from political science to philosophy, from economics to sociology, and from management science to decision analysis. But what counts as rational action and rational behavior?
Jose Luis Bermudez explores decision theory as a theory of rationality. Decision theory is the mathematical theory of choice and for many social scientists it makes the concept of rationality mathematically tractable and scientifically legitimate.
Yet rationality is a concept with several dimensions and the theory of rationality has different roles to play. It plays an action-guiding role (prescribing what counts as a rational solution of a given decision problem). It plays a normative role (giving us the tools to pass judgment not just on how a decision problem was solved, but also on how it was set up in the first place). And it plays a predictive/explanatory role (telling us how rational agents will behave, or why they did what they did).
This controversial but accessible book shows that decision theory cannot play all of these roles simultaneously. And yet, it argues, no theory of rationality can play one role without playing the other two. The conclusion is that there is no hope of taking decision theory as a theory of rationality.

The Handbook of Rational and Social Choice (Hardcover): Paul Anand, Prasanta Pattanaik, Clemens Puppe The Handbook of Rational and Social Choice (Hardcover)
Paul Anand, Prasanta Pattanaik, Clemens Puppe
R7,501 R6,686 Discovery Miles 66 860 Save R815 (11%) Ships in 12 - 19 working days

The Handbook of Rational and Social Choice provides an overview of issues arising in work on the foundations of decision theory and social choice over the past three decades. Drawing on work by economic theorists mainly, but also with contributions from political science, philosophy and psychology, the collection shows how the related areas of decision theory and social choice have developed in their applications and moved well beyond the basic models of expected utility and utilitarian approaches to welfare economics.
Containing twenty-three contributions, in many cases by leading figures in their fields, the handbook shows how the normative foundations of economics have changed dramatically as more general and explicit models of utility and group choice have been developed. This is perhaps the first time these developments have been brought together in a manner that seeks to identify and make accessible the recent themes and developments that have been of particular interest to researchers in recent years. The collection will be of particular value to researchers in economics with interests in utility or welfare but it will also be of interest to any social scientist or philosopher interested in theories of rationality or group decision-making.

Complete Guide To Attention Management - How to Create Success and Be More Productive in a World of Distraction (Paperback):... Complete Guide To Attention Management - How to Create Success and Be More Productive in a World of Distraction (Paperback)
Mary Miles
R296 Discovery Miles 2 960 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Flip and Decide with Confidence - A Framework for Making Better Decisions More Often (Paperback): Rob Paterson Flip and Decide with Confidence - A Framework for Making Better Decisions More Often (Paperback)
Rob Paterson
R371 R347 Discovery Miles 3 470 Save R24 (6%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days
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