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Books > Reference & Interdisciplinary > Communication studies > Decision theory
In Zeiten der Wissensgesellschaft, der Globalisierung und der damit
verbundenen internationalen vergleichenden Studien nimmt die
Untersuchung Bezug auf die Frage nach der Konkurrenzfahigkeit der
Modernisierung des Systems Schule der letzten Jahre. Im Mittelpunkt
der aktuellen Reformbestrebungen steht der Schuler. Vernachlassigt
wird trotz der Pluralitat der erziehungswissenschaftlichen Theorien
die Frage nach einer angemessenen Qualifikation der primaren,
praktischen Agenten des Reformprozesses. Stehen die theoretischen
Anspruche an eine adaquate, ideale Lehrerprofessionalitat im
Widerspruch zum demografischen Alterungsprozess unserer
Gesellschaft und somit der Lehrerkollegien? Am Beispiel der
Bildungsreform des Bundeslandes Baden-Wurttemberg wurde nach
Richtungsweisungen fur diese scheinbare Dichotomie mit der Absicht
der qualitatssichernden Optimierung und gesundheitsfoerdernden
Balancierung der Anforderungen und Herausforderungen des
schulischen Umfeldes und den subjektiv-personellen Potenzen der
Lehrer gesucht.
Very Short Introductions: Brilliant, Sharp, Inspiring Everyone
negotiates. Whenever any person, company, or country needs someone
else to accomplish something, they must negotiate. Negotiation is
essential for peace and international relations, but also for
economically efficient trades and bargains in business, and for
problem solving skills in workplaces, families, and interpersonal
interactions. This Very Short Introduction provides a comprehensive
and accessible review of both conceptual and behavioural approaches
to the human process of negotiation. Carrie Menkel-Meadow draws on
research in constituent fields of human psychology, diplomacy, law,
business, anthropology, game theory, decision making, international
relations, sociology, public policy, and economics, suggesting
models for creative problem solving to often intractable problems.
Considering that most people are tense and frightened of what they
perceive to be scarce resource confrontations with opponents and
competitors, Menkel-Meadow offers different ways to plan for and
approach others to solve human problems and seek solutions that
satisfy both parties. Alongside this, Menkel-Meadow summarises
recent research on the variations of human behaviour, providing
vivid examples from history and current affairs to solve some of
the most difficult problems. ABOUT THE SERIES: The Very Short
Introductions series from Oxford University Press contains hundreds
of titles in almost every subject area. These pocket-sized books
are the perfect way to get ahead in a new subject quickly. Our
expert authors combine facts, analysis, perspective, new ideas, and
enthusiasm to make interesting and challenging topics highly
readable.
Amazingly, the complexities of voting theory can be explained and resolved with comfortable geometry. A geometry which unifies such seemingly disparate topics as manipulation, monotonicity, and even the apportionment issues of the US Supreme Court. Although directed mainly toward students and others wishing to learn about voting, experts will discover here many previously unpublished results. As an example, a new profile decomposition quickly resolves the age-old controversies of Condorcet and Borda, demonstrates that the rankings of pairwise and other methods differ because they rely on different information, casts serious doubt on the reliability of a Condorcet winner as a standard for the field, makes the famous Arrow's Theorem predictable, and simplifies the construction of examples.
Actuaries have access to a wealth of individual data in pension and
insurance portfolios, but rarely use its full potential. This book
will pave the way, from methods using aggregate counts to modern
developments in survival analysis. Based on the fundamental concept
of the hazard rate, Part I shows how and why to build statistical
models, based on data at the level of the individual persons in a
pension scheme or life insurance portfolio. Extensive use is made
of the R statistics package. Smooth models, including regression
and spline models in one and two dimensions, are covered in depth
in Part II. Finally, Part III uses multiple-state models to extend
survival models beyond the simple life/death setting, and includes
a brief introduction to the modern counting process approach.
Practising actuaries will find this book indispensable, and
students will find it helpful when preparing for their professional
examinations.
1. Fully aligned to the NEBOSH International Certificate in Health
and Safety (IGC) 2019 syllabus 2. An authoritative and helpful
study guide for the c.30,000 students a year worldwide pursuing the
IGC qualification 3. Written by renowned health and safety expert
and former NEBOSH Vice Chairman Dr Ed Ferrett 4. Accessible text
design, clearly mapping out key learning outcomes and revision
points for easy learning and memorization 5. Companion guide to the
4th edition of the renowned International Health and Safety at Work
textbook
Schulen haben seit Jahren neue Freiheiten der Schulentwicklung.
Diese Forschungsarbeit betrachtet dabei die Rolle der Schulleiter
und geht der Frage nach, wie Schulen in Deutschland, OEsterreich
und der Schweiz diese Freiheiten in der Berufsorientierung und im
UEbergangsmanagement von der Schule zum Beruf empfinden und nutzen.
Mit einem Methodenmix werden Good-Practice-Schulen in der
internationalen Bodenseeregion identifiziert. Die Sichtweisen der
entsprechenden Schulleiter und Experten der Schulentwicklung wurden
in Leitfadeninterviews erhoben und analysiert. In diesem Beitrag
zur UEbergangs-, Schulleiter- und Regionalforschung werden
unterschiedliche Schulleitertypen herausgearbeitet und daraus ein
heuristisches Modell sowie praxisrelevante und bildungspolitische
Empfehlungen abgeleitet.
A global catastrophic risk is one with the potential to wreak death
and destruction on a global scale. In human history, wars and
plagues have done so on more than one occasion, and misguided
ideologies and totalitarian regimes have darkened an entire era or
a region. Advances in technology are adding dangers of a new kind.
It could happen again.
In Global Catastrophic Risks 25 leading experts look at the gravest
risks facing humanity in the 21st century, including asteroid
impacts, gamma-ray bursts, Earth-based natural catastrophes,
nuclear war, terrorism, global warming, biological weapons,
totalitarianism, advanced nanotechnology, general artificial
intelligence, and social collapse. The book also addresses
over-arching issues - policy responses and methods for predicting
and managing catastrophes.
This is invaluable reading for anyone interested in the big issues
of our time; for students focusing on science, society, technology,
and public policy; and for academics, policy-makers, and
professionals working in these acutely important fields.
Die Jahre 2005 bis 2014 wurden durch die UN-Vollversammlung zur
Weltdekade Bildung fur nachhaltige Entwicklung ausgerufen. Dabei
ist das theoretische Fundament vielen Bildungsakteuren nur
unzureichend bekannt. Dies - so die zentrale These dieser Arbeit -
hat seine Ursache im mangelnden nachhaltigkeitstheoretischen Bezug
der Bildung fur nachhaltige Entwicklung. Die Arbeit bietet diesen
theoretischen Rahmen. Im Mittelpunkt steht die Frage nach den
Werten in der Natur. Zur Beantwortung dieser Frage wird ein
differenzierter Blick auf die Phanomenbereiche der Werte und der
Natur genommen, um aus dieser Perspektive die beiden
konkurrierenden Konzepte der starken und schwachen Nachhaltigkeit
zu reflektieren.
In Being Rational and Being Right, Juan Comesana argues for a
cluster of theses related to the rationality of action and belief.
His starting point is that rational action requires rational belief
but tolerates false belief. From there, Comesana provides a novel
account of empirical evidence according to which said evidence
consists of the content of undefeated experiences. This view, which
Comesana calls Experientialism, differs from the two main views of
empirical evidence on offer nowadays: Factualism, according to
which our evidence is what we know, and Psychologism, according to
which our experiences themselves are evidence. He reasons that
Experientialism fares better than these rival views in explaining
different features of rational belief and action. Comesana embeds
this discussion in a Bayesian framework, and discusses in addition
the problem of normative requirements, the easy knowledge problem,
and how Experientialism compares to forms of evidentialism and
reliabilism.
Seit der Einfuhrung des Europaischen Portfolios der Sprachen (EPS)
im Jahr 2001 ist dem Portfolio ein starkes Potenzial zur
Veranderung der Lernkultur im Fremdsprachenunterricht zugeschrieben
worden. Die quantitative empirische Studie untersucht die
Wirksamkeit der Portfolioimplementierung sowie das
Modifikationspotenzial des EPS aus der Sicht von Lehrkraften. Der
niedersachsische Modellversuch zur Einfuhrung des EPS wird
evaluiert und die Untersuchungsergebnisse zur Bildung eines Modells
fur die Implementierung herangezogen. Im Ergebnis zeigt sich, dass
das Innovationspotenzial des EPS nur wirken kann, wenn Lehrkrafte
Veranderungen auf den Ebenen der Organisation sowie der Lern- und
Gesprachskultur vornehmen.
When making decisions, people naturally face uncertainty about the
potential consequences of their actions due in part to limits in
their capacity to represent, evaluate or deliberate. Nonetheless,
they aim to make the best decisions possible. In Decision Theory
with a Human Face, Richard Bradley develops new theories of agency
and rational decision-making, offering guidance on how 'real'
agents who are aware of their bounds should represent the
uncertainty they face, how they should revise their opinions as a
result of experience and how they should make decisions when
lacking full awareness of, or precise opinions on relevant
contingencies. He engages with the strengths and flaws of Bayesian
reasoning, and presents clear and comprehensive explorations of key
issues in decision theory, from belief and desire to semantics and
learning. His book draws on philosophy, economics, decision science
and psychology, and will appeal to readers in all of these
disciplines.
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