Renowned probability theorist Edward O. Thorp revolutionized the casino industry by developing card counting systems for the casino game of blackjack. Les Golden, the celebrated blackjack, roulette, and craps columnist for Bluff Europe, Gambling.com, iGaming Business, GamblingOnline, and Jackpots Review magazines, tells Thorp's incredible true story of lucrative applied probability with charm, wit, and humor. Whether you visit casinos for fun, dinner money, or a living, or whether you're simply interested in a story of romance and casino intrigue, this lively biographical novel will capture and delight you. Illustrations by the author. "I found the story tremendously entertaining, with a pantheon of compelling characters such as gambler Ed Thorp and bookie Manny Kimmel taking us from the casinos of Nevada to those of San Juan, Puerto Rico. Les Golden's novel is a triumph begging for adaptation to the screen."- LANA WOOD, Film and T.V. Producer, Actress ("Diamonds Are Forever") Best-selling Author, Natalie, a Memoir "Les Golden has an ever-increasing influence and burgeoning popularity.A significant name in the industry, the 'go to' man for strategy and anecdotal literarydexterity. I cannot acclaim his star highly enough."- JAMES MCKEOWN, Editor, iGaming Business Magazine and Gambling.com Magazine "Les Golden is a comedy genius. It really is as simple as that. An expert in the field,he makes getting educated not only painless but actually funny."- DAVE BLAND, Editor, Flush Magazine, British television pundit "I learn more about strategy through Les' writings than I do through many failed tripsto Vegas. Always concise, easy-to-read, and intelligent."- JON YOUNG, Editor WPT (World Poker Tour) Magazine "Les Golden makes numbers hilarious. He's simply the funniest gaming strategy writer there is. His writing is 'rakish' and 'bond-esque.' "- PHILIP CONNELLER, Editor, Bluff Europe Magazine "The dialog crackles and the fictional elements brilliantly illuminate how cool Ed Thorp is. And there's just the right amount of blackjack and math. I love it."- AARON BROWN, Professional gambler, Wall Street risk managerAuthor, The Poker Face of Wall Street

The Selfish Gene is a classic exposition of evolutionary thought. In it Professor Dawkins articulates a gene's eye view of evolution - a view giving centre stage to these persistent units of information, and in which organisms can be seen as vehicles for the replication of genes. The book provoked widespread and heated debate, which in part led Dawkins to write The Extended Phenotype, in which he gave a deeper clarification of the central concept of the gene as the unit of selection, as well as contributing his own development of this insight. For the first time, The Extended Selfish Gene brings these two books together, by including two key chapters from The Extended Phenotype. These chapters provide Dawkins's detailed and powerful response to two issues raised by critics of The Selfish Gene: the accusations of genetic determinism (the idea that our behaviour is entirely determined by our genes), and of "adaptationism " (that all traits are indiscriminately perceived to be adaptations resulting from natural selection). While written in particular for the biology community, Dawkins's clarity of expression allows these chapters to be accessible to all who are seriously engaged with the gene's eye view and its implications. The imaginative, powerful, and stylistically brilliant Selfish Gene not only brought the insights of Neo-Darwinism to a wide audience, but galvanized the biology community, generating much debate and stimulating whole new areas of research. Forty years later, its insights remain as significant as on the day it was published. Along with the two extra chapters, The Extended Selfish Gene includes a new epilogue to The Selfish Gene from the author which highlights the relevance of the gene's eye view to evolutionary biology today.

It is widely held that Bayesian decision theory is the final word on how a rational person should make decisions. However, Leonard Savage--the inventor of Bayesian decision theory--argued that it would be ridiculous to use his theory outside the kind of small world in which it is always possible to "look before you leap." If taken seriously, this view makes Bayesian decision theory inappropriate for the large worlds of scientific discovery and macroeconomic enterprise. When is it correct to use Bayesian decision theory--and when does it need to be modified? Using a minimum of mathematics, "Rational Decisions" clearly explains the foundations of Bayesian decision theory and shows why Savage restricted the theory's application to small worlds.

The book is a wide-ranging exploration of standard theories of choice and belief under risk and uncertainty. Ken Binmore discusses the various philosophical attitudes related to the nature of probability and offers resolutions to paradoxes believed to hinder further progress. In arguing that the Bayesian approach to knowledge is inadequate in a large world, Binmore proposes an extension to Bayesian decision theory--allowing the idea of a mixed strategy in game theory to be expanded to a larger set of what Binmore refers to as "muddled" strategies.

Written by one of the world's leading game theorists, "Rational Decisions" is the touchstone for anyone needing a concise, accessible, and expert view on Bayesian decision making.

This book is a spectacular introduction to the modern mathematical discipline known as the Theory of Games. Harold Kuhn first presented these lectures at Princeton University in 1952. They succinctly convey the essence of the theory, in part through the prism of the most exciting developments at its frontiers half a century ago. Kuhn devotes considerable space to topics that, while not strictly the subject matter of game theory, are firmly bound to it. These are taken mainly from the geometry of convex sets and the theory of probability distributions.

The book opens by addressing "matrix games," a name first introduced in these lectures as an abbreviation for two-person, zero-sum games in normal form with a finite number of pure strategies. It continues with a treatment of games in extensive form, using a model introduced by the author in 1950 that quickly supplanted von Neumann and Morgenstern's cumbersome approach. A final section deals with games that have an infinite number of pure strategies for the two players.

Throughout, the theory is generously illustrated with examples, and exercises test the reader's understanding. A historical note caps off each chapter. For readers familiar with the calculus and with elementary matrix theory or vector analysis, this book offers an indispensable store of vital insights on a subject whose importance has only grown with the years.

Highly entertaining text essential for anyone interested in Game Theory. Only basic understanding of arithmetic needed to grasp necessary aspects of two-, three-, four- and larger strategy games with two or more sets of inimical interests and a limitless array of zero-sum payoffs.

Focusing on recent advances in option pricing under the SABR model, this book shows how to price options under this model in an arbitrage-free, theoretically consistent manner. It extends SABR to a negative rates environment, and shows how to generalize it to a similar model with additional degrees of freedom, allowing simultaneous model calibration to swaptions and CMSs. Since the SABR model is used on practically every trading floor to construct interest rate options volatility cubes in an arbitrage-free manner, a careful treatment of it is extremely important. The book will be of interest to experienced industry practitioners, as well as to students and professors in academia. Aimed mainly at financial industry practitioners (for example quants and former physicists) this book will also be interesting to mathematicians who seek intuition in the mathematical finance.

This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 18th International Conference on Group Decision and Negotiation, GDN 2018, held in Nanjing, China, in June 2018. The field of Group Decision and Negotiation focuses on decision processes with at least two participants and a common goal but conflicting individual goals. Research areas of Group Decision and Negotiation include electronic negotiations, experiments, the role of emotions in group decision and negotiations, preference elicitation and decision support for group decisions and negotiations, and conflict resolution principles. The 15 full papers presented in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from 143 submissions. They were organized in topical sections named: theoretical concepts of group decision and negotiation; decision support and behavior in group decision and negotiation; and applications of group decision and negotiations.

This is the first book that sheds light on global game industries and cultural policy. The scope covers the emerging and converging theory and models on cultural industries and its development, and their connection to national cultural policy and globalization. The primary focus of the book is on Asian cultural policy and industries while there are implicit comparisons throughout the book to compare Asia to other global markets. This book is aimed at advanced undergraduates, graduate students and faculty members in programs addressing cultural policy and digital games. It will also be of interest to those within the cultural policy community and to digital games professionals.

In contrast to mainstream economics, complexity theory conceives the economy as a complex system of heterogeneous interacting agents characterised by limited information and bounded rationality. Agent Based Models (ABMs) are the analytical and computational tools developed by the proponents of this emerging methodology. Aimed at students and scholars of contemporary economics, this book includes a comprehensive toolkit for agent-based computational economics, now quickly becoming the new way to study evolving economic systems. Leading scholars in the field explain how ABMs can be applied fruitfully to many real-world economic examples and represent a great advancement over mainstream approaches. The essays discuss the methodological bases of agent-based approaches and demonstrate step-by-step how to build, simulate and analyse ABMs and how to validate their outputs empirically using the data. They also present a wide set of applications of these models to key economic topics, including the business cycle, labour markets, and economic growth.

In a globalized economy logistics has become a crucial area for the success of companies. The performance of each company depends on the performance of its suppliers and of its business partners. The customers of each company are spread on a large geographical space. For this reason distribution logistics is the most important and complex part of logistics. An efficient and effective management of distribution logistics is a key issue for the success of a company. There are many different problems to deal with, from facility location to transportation, to inventory management, and, most important, to the integration and optimization of the entire logistics network. Quantitative methods provide relevant tools to support decisions, from strategic to operational, in distribution logistics.

Mathematics is not, and never will be, an empirical science, but mathematicians are finding that the use of computers and specialized software allows the generation of mathematical insight in the form of conjectures and examples, which pave the way for theorems and their proofs. In this way, the experimental approach to pure mathematics is revolutionizing the way research mathematicians work. As the first of its kind, this book provides material for a one-semester course in experimental mathematics that will give students the tools and training needed to systematically investigate and develop mathematical theory using computer programs written in Maple. Accessible to readers without prior programming experience, and using examples of concrete mathematical problems to illustrate a wide range of techniques, the book gives a thorough introduction to the field of experimental mathematics, which will prepare students for the challenge posed by open mathematical problems.

The "Shapley value" of a finite multi- person game associates to each player the amount he should be willing to pay to participate. This book extends the value concept to certain classes of non-atomic games, which are infinite-person games in which no individual player has significance. It is primarily a book of mathematics--a study of non-additive set functions and associated linear operators. Originally published in 1974. The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.

This monograph develops a method of creating convenient coordinate systems for game theory that will allow readers to more easily understand, analyze, and create games at various levels of complexity. By identifying the unique characterization of games that separates the individual's strategic interests from the group's collective behavior, the authors construct a single analytical methodology that readers will be able to apply to a wide variety of games. With its emphasis on practicality and approachability, readers will find this book an invaluable tool, and a viable alternative to the ad hoc analytical approach that has become customary for researchers utilizing game theory. The introductory chapters serve two important purposes: they review several games of fundamental importance, and also introduce a dynamic that is inherent in games, but has gone unexplored until now. After this has been established, readers will advance from simple 2 x 2 games to games with more player strategies and dynamics. For interested readers, a rigorous treatment of the underlying mathematics is conveniently gathered at the end of the book. Additional topics of interest, such as extensive form and coalitional games, are presented to help readers visualize more complex settings that will be vital in aiding the understanding of advanced topics, such as coalition-free Nash points, multi-player repeated games, and more. Coordinate Systems for Games is ideal for a wide variety of researchers interested in game theory, including social scientists, economists, mathematicians, computer scientists, and more. The authors' approachable style also makes this accessible to an audience at any scale of experience, from beginning non-specialists to more practiced researchers.

This textbook invites the reader to develop a holistic grounding in mathematical finance, where concepts and intuition play as important a role as powerful mathematical tools. Financial interactions are characterized by a vast amount of data and uncertainty; navigating the inherent dangers and hidden opportunities requires a keen understanding of what techniques to apply and when. By exploring the conceptual foundations of options pricing, the author equips readers to choose their tools with a critical eye and adapt to emerging challenges. Introducing the basics of gambles through realistic scenarios, the text goes on to build the core financial techniques of Puts, Calls, hedging, and arbitrage. Chapters on modeling and probability lead into the centerpiece: the Black-Scholes equation. Omitting the mechanics of solving Black-Scholes itself, the presentation instead focuses on an in-depth analysis of its derivation and solutions. Advanced topics that follow include the Greeks, American options, and embellishments. Throughout, the author presents topics in an engaging conversational style. "Intuition breaks" frequently prompt students to set aside mathematical details and think critically about the relevance of tools in context. Mathematics of Finance is ideal for undergraduates from a variety of backgrounds, including mathematics, economics, statistics, data science, and computer science. Students should have experience with the standard calculus sequence, as well as a familiarity with differential equations and probability. No financial expertise is assumed of student or instructor; in fact, the text's deep connection to mathematical ideas makes it suitable for a math capstone course. A complete set of the author's lecture videos is available on YouTube, providing a comprehensive supplementary resource for a course or independent study.

Otto Opitz feiert im Juni 1999 seinen sechzigsten Geburtstag. Aus diesem Anlass haben sich Schuler, ihm nahestehende Kollegen und Freunde ent- schlossen, die nachfolgende Festschrift zu erstellen. Dass sich dabei eine hohe Korrelation zwischen den wissenschaftlichen Interessensgebieten von Otto Opitz und den Themen der eingegangenen Beitrage gezeigt hat, ist nicht er- staunlich und hat die Strukturierung dieses Bandes erleichtert. Ein Auszug seiner wissenschaftlichen Tatigkeiten findet sich am Ende des Bandes. Eines der wichtigsten Betatigungsfelder von Otto Opitz kann mit Daten- analyse und Klassifikation umschrieben werden. Und so, wie sich diese For- schungsrichtung aus der Statistik entwickelt hat, ist in jungster Zeit eine Diskussion zu beobachten, die Data Mining als neues Forschungsgebiet zu etablieren sucht. Zu bevorzugten Anwendungsbereichen von Aktivitaten aus den zuvor genannten Gebieten haben fur Otto Opitz stets Marktforschung und Marketing gehoert, und nicht nur seine Beschaftigung mit Methoden der Bankmarktforschung belegt, dass auch die mit Kapital und Risiko umschreib- bare Forschungsrichtung sein Interesse gefunden hat. Schon in fruhen Arbei- ten von Otto Opitz finden sich spieltheoretische UEberlegungen, die Aus- gangspunkt fur Forschungsaktivitaten in den Gebieten Operations Research und Unternehmensplanung sowie Volkswirtschaftslehre waren. Naturlich ha- ben Entwicklungen in der Informatik seine wissenschaftlichen Arbeiten be- pe-gestutzter Software zur Datenana- einflusst, wobei die Bereitstellung von lyse den Methodeneinsatz in der Lehre unterstutzt hat.

Focusing on deterministic models in discrete time, this concise yet rigorous textbook provides a clear and systematic introduction to the theory and application of dynamic economic models. It guides students through the most popular model structures and solution concepts, from the simplest dynamic economic models through to complex problems of optimal policy design in dynamic general equilibrium frameworks. Chapters feature theorems and practical hints, and seventy-five worked examples highlight the various methods and results that can be applied in dynamic economic models. Notation and formulation is uniform throughout, so students can easily discern the similarities and differences between various model classes. Chapters include more than sixty exercises for students to self-test their analytical skills, and password-protected solutions are available for instructors on the companion website. Assuming no prior knowledge of dynamic economic analysis or dynamic optimization, this textbook is ideal for advanced students in economics.

Dieses Buch wendet sich an Studierende der Wirtschaftswissenschaften, die sich im Grundstudium gezielt und effektiv auf Klausuren in Mathematik und Statistik vorbereiten wollen. Klausuraufgaben besitzen ihre eigene Spezifik: sie sind nicht zu leicht, aber auch nicht zu arbeitsaufwandig. Dem oft von Studierenden geausserten Wunsch nach solchen Aufgaben kommt das vorliegende Buch mit einer Vielzahl von gestellten Problemen, Original-Klausuraufgaben, zugehoerigen Loesungshinweisen sowie komplett durchgerechneten Loesungen in umfassender Weise nach. Die vierte Auflage zeichnet sich dadurch aus, dass ein Kapitel zur deskriptiven Statistik und ein kurzes Kapitel uber haufig begangene Fehler neu aufgenommen wurden. Ferner fanden drei aktuelle Klausuren zusammen mit ihren Musterloesungen Aufnahme in das Buch.

Despite significant achievements, the discipline of supply chain management is still unable to satisfactorily handle many practical real-world challenges. The authors of Networks Against Time claim that a unified supply chain network analytics framework is needed which should be able to handle optimization and competitive behavior while also maintain relevance to many industrial sectors in which perishable products are prominent, from healthcare to food and from fashion apparel to technology. This Brief provides a wide range of critical supply chain problems which are modeled as generalized networks. Guidelines are provided to determine the arc multipliers that capture perish ability of the product whether food, radioisotopes, or even highly perishable blood in healthcare over space and time. Through case studies the authors portray the application of the models and algorithms to real-world sectors which illustrate the power of the framework in practice. The models and algorithms are fully described along with the input and output data in the case studies. This level of transparency is useful pedagogically as well as for future research and for applications in practice. Researchers and practitioners in mathematics, in operations research and management science, operations management, as well as in economics and computer science will find this book useful to gain a broader appreciation of the richness of network supply chain structures, processes, and applications. This book can also be used by advanced undergraduate students and graduate students in the disciplines noted above to familiarize themselves with methodologies and supply chain network models and applications.

Game theory explains how to make good choices when different decision makers have conflicting interests. The classical approach assumes that decision makers are committed to making the best choices for themselves regardless of the effect on others, but such an approach is less appropriate when cooperation, compromise and negotiation are important. This book describes conditional games, a form of game theory that accommodates multiple stakeholder decision-making scenarios where cooperation and negotiation are significant issues and where notions of concordant group behavior are important. Using classical binary preference relations as a point of departure, the book extends the concept of a preference ordering that permits stakeholders to modulate their preferences as functions of the preferences of others. As these conditional preferences propagate through a group of decision makers, they create social bonds that lead to notions of group concordance. This book is intended for all students and researchers of decision theory and game theory.

This book constitutes the proceedings of the Joint INFORMS-GDN and EWG-DSS International Conference on Group Decision and Negotiation (GDN), held in Toulouse, France, during June 10 13, 2014.

The GDN meetings aim to bring together researchers and practitioners from a wide spectrum of fields, including economics, management, computer science, engineering and decision science. The contributions report on research on individual and group decision support, negotiation and auction support and the design of systems and agents supporting such processes.

From a total of 88 submissions, 31 papers were accepted for publication in this volume. The papers are organized into topical sections on collaborative decision making, auctions, knowledge decision support systems, multi-criteria decision making, multi-agent systems, negotiation analysis, preference analysis, data analysis, DSS / GDSS use, network analysisand semantic tools for group decision making."

Der aktuellste Leitfaden fur den Borsengang, mit Checklisten und Vertragsmustern!

This is a textbook on game theory for students of business and management, managerial economics, strategic analysis, negotiation, and microeconomics.

Durch weitreichende Verbesserungen im Nachrichten-und Transportwesen ist unsere Er de kleiner geworden, nicht nur in soziologischer Hinsicht, sondern auch in Bezug auf Handel, Finanzen und Markte. Dennoch war in manchen Fallen dies die Ursache fur wichtige Unwagbarkeiten, die auf der Wechselwirkung von Zinssatzen und verschiede nen Devisenkursen beruhten. Zwar gibt es die Moglichkeit der Arbitrage, um aus Zins bzw. Kursdifferenzen Gewinn zu erzielen, jedoch mochte der grosste Teil der Marktteil nehmer die oben erwahnten Schwierigkeiten lediglich umgehen. Hier sind die Finanzin stitute gefragt Unterschiede im Zinsniveau sowie Wechselkursschwankungen erschweren Importeuren und Exporteuren die Preisfestsetzung. Diese konnen sich heute dagegen absichern, in dem sie Devisen per Termin kaufen bzw. verkaufen oder durch borslich gehandelte Futu res-Kontrakte Risiken ausschliessen. Diesen Geschaften liegen vorgegebene Verpflich tungen an oder bis zu einem fe lgesetzten Termin zugrunde. Die Termin-und Futures markte ermoglichen also den Schutz vor unvorhergesehenen, starken Kursschwankun gen; zur Absicherung gegen gewisse andere, dem Welthandel zur Zeit eigene Risikofor men sind sie jedoch nicht angemessen. Im September 1982 hat die Philadelphia Stock Exchange ein neues, nutzliches Finanzin strument borslich eingefuhrt, das man als die dritte Dimension des Devisengeschaftes be zeichnen konnte: Die Option auf Wechselkurse hietet die Moglichkeit, Risiken abzusi chern, so beispielsweise wenn Unklarheit daruber besteht, wann (oder ob sogar uber haupt) ein Devisengeschaft notwendig wird."

Das Buch bietet ein neuartiges Modell zur Klassifizierung, Weiterentwicklung und Fuhrung von Sportmannschaften. Dabei geht es um die konstante Realisierung von (grundlegendem oder inkrementellen) Wandel bei der Spielweise (a) Stabilisierung, b) Erneuerung, c) Optimierung, d) Kombinationen aus Erneuerung und Optimierung).

A major problem arising in airline alliances is to design allocation mechanisms determining how the revenue of a product should be shared among the airlines. The nucleolus is a concept of cooperative game theory that provides solutions for allocating the cost or benefit of a cooperation. This work provides fair revenue proportions for the airline alliances based on the nucleolus, which assumes a centralized decision making system. The proposed mechanism is used as a benchmark to evaluate the fairness of the revenue sharing mechanisms, where the alliance partners behave selfishly. Additionally, a new selfish revenue allocation rule is developed that improves the performance of the existing methods.