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Books > Reference & Interdisciplinary > Communication studies > Decision theory > General
Knowledge in an Uncertain World is an exploration of the relation
between knowledge, reasons, and justification. According to the
primary argument of the book, you can rely on what you know in
action and belief, because what you know can be a reason you have
and you can rely on the reasons you have. If knowledge doesn't
allow for a chance of error, then this result is unsurprising. But
if knowledge does allow for a chance of error - as seems required
if we know much of anything at all - this result entails the denial
of a received position in epistemology. Because any chance of
error, if the stakes are high enough, can make a difference to what
can be relied on, two subjects with the same evidence and generally
the same strength of epistemic position for a proposition can
differ with respect to whether they are in a position to know.
In defending these points, Fantl and McGrath investigate the
ramifications for debates about epistemological externalism and
contextualism, the value and importance of knowledge,
Wittgensteinian hinge propositions, Bayesianism, and the nature of
belief. The book is essential reading for epistemologists,
philosophers who work on reasons and rationality, philosophers of
language and mind, and decision theorists.
This book presents recent advances in the theory and application of
the Best-Worst Method (BWM). It includes selected papers from the
Second International Workshop on Best-Worst Method (BWM2021), held
in Delft, The Netherlands from 10-11 June, 2021, and provides
valuable insights on why and how to use BWM in a diverse range of
applications including health, energy, supply chain management, and
engineering. The book highlights the use of BWM in different
settings including single decision-making vs group decision-making,
and complete information vs incomplete and uncertain situations.
The papers gathered here will benefit academics and practitioners
who are involved in multi-criteria decision-making and decision
analysis.
Der Bilinguale Unterricht in Deutschland entwickelt sich derzeit zu
einem Regelangebot. Bei dieser Entwicklung wird jedoch die
sachfachliche Kompetenz in Theorie, Forschung und Praxis noch nicht
im wunschenswerten Masse berucksichtigt. In der europaischen
Diskussion um Content and Language Integrated Learning interessiert
vor allem die fremdsprachliche Kompetenz. Die Rolle der schulischen
Erstsprache sowie der Aufbau fachlicher Literalitat in zwei
Sprachen werden kaum berucksichtigt. Dieser Band bilanziert die
Entwicklung des Bilingualen Unterrichts. Er vereint Beitrage aus
Forschung, Ausbildung und Schule, die sich aus unterschiedlichen
Fachperspektiven mit seinen derzeitigen Herausforderungen befassen.
Eine konzeptuelle Klarung und Weiterentwicklung des Bilingualen
Unterrichts sowie der darauf bezogenen Lehrerbildung scheinen
notwendig. Dazu soll dieses Buch einen Diskussionsbeitrag leisten.
The greatest challenge we face in dealing with the complexity of
our world? To think again and to think better. In a world that
challenges us with ever more complicated problems, the quality of
our thinking is a critical game-changer. As individuals,
organisations, societies, and cultures, we need to cultivate
thinking that is both insightful and farsighted. We must learn how
to mobilise and apply intelligence that goes beyond the ordinary -
one that continuously exceeds its own limits. The Postgraduate
School of Thinking, at the Vrije Universiteit in Brussels (VUB), is
an experimental program with the mission of challenging us all to
achieve just that. Deploying an innovative combination of
mobilisation methods, the program sets out to define the cognitive
strategies, practices, and habits that are the marks of exceptional
thinkers. This book features a variety of interdisciplinary
research articles and discussions that invite us to explore our
capacity for extraordinary thinking.
Do the reasons we have for acting as we do derive from our concerns
and desires, or are there objective values in the world that we are
rationally required to pursue and protect? Alan Goldman argues for
the internalist or subjectivist view of practical reasons on the
grounds that it is simpler, more unified, and more comprehensible
than the rival objectivist position. He provides a naturalistic
account of practical rationality in terms of coherence within sets
of desires or motivational states, and between motivations,
intentions, and actions. Coherence is defined as the avoidance of
self-defeat, the defeat of one's own deepest concerns. The demand
for coherence underlies both practical and theoretical reason and
derives from the natural aims of belief and action. In clarifying
which desires create reasons, drawing on the literature of
cognitive psychology, Goldman offers conceptual analyses of
desires, emotions, and attitudes. Reasons are seen to derive
ultimately from our deepest occurrent concerns. These concerns
require no reasons themselves but provide reasons for many more
superficial desires.
In defense of this theory, Goldman argues that rational agents need
not be morally motivated or concerned for their narrow
self-interest. Objective values would demand such concern. They
would be independent of our desires but would provide reasons for
us to pursue and protect them. They would require rational agents
to be motivated by them. But, Goldman argues, we are not motivated
in that way, and it makes no sense to demand that our informed and
coherent desires be generally other than they are. We need not
appeal to such objective values in order to explain how our lives
can be good and meaningful.
Reasons from Within will appeal to anyone interested in the nature
of values and reasons, particularly students of philosophy,
psychology, and decision theory.
MOPGP is an international conference series devoted to
multi-objective p- gramming and goal programming (MOP/GP). This
conference brings together researchers and practitioners from
different disciplines of Computer Science, Operational Research,
Optimisation Engineering, Mathematical Programming and
Multi-criteria Decision Analysis. Theoretical results and
algorithmic developments in the ?eld of MOP and GP are covered,
including practice and applications of MOP/GP in real-life
situations. The MOP/GP international conferences are organised in a
biennial cycle. The previous editions were held in United Kingdom
(1994), Spain (1996), Canada (1998), Poland (2000), Japan (2002),
and Tunisia (2004). The Seventh me- ing (MOPGP'06) was organised in
the Loire Valley (Center-West of France) by X. Gandibleux,
(University of Nantes, chairman) and V. T'Kindt (University of
Tours, co-chairman). The conference was hosted during three days
(June 12-14, 2006) by the old city hall of Tours which is located
in the city centre of Tours. The conference comprised four plenary
sessions (M. Ehrgott; P. Perny; R. Caballero and F. Ruiz; S.
Oussedik) and six semi-plenary sessions (N. Jussien and V.
Barichard; D. Corne and J. Knowles; H. Hoogeveen; M. Wiecek; E.
Bampis; F. Ben Abdelaziz) and 82 regular talks. The (semi-)plenary
speakers were invited, while the regular talks were selected by the
international scienti?c committee composed of 61 eminent
researchers on basis of a 4-pages abstract.
In Zeiten der Wissensgesellschaft, der Globalisierung und der damit
verbundenen internationalen vergleichenden Studien nimmt die
Untersuchung Bezug auf die Frage nach der Konkurrenzfahigkeit der
Modernisierung des Systems Schule der letzten Jahre. Im Mittelpunkt
der aktuellen Reformbestrebungen steht der Schuler. Vernachlassigt
wird trotz der Pluralitat der erziehungswissenschaftlichen Theorien
die Frage nach einer angemessenen Qualifikation der primaren,
praktischen Agenten des Reformprozesses. Stehen die theoretischen
Anspruche an eine adaquate, ideale Lehrerprofessionalitat im
Widerspruch zum demografischen Alterungsprozess unserer
Gesellschaft und somit der Lehrerkollegien? Am Beispiel der
Bildungsreform des Bundeslandes Baden-Wurttemberg wurde nach
Richtungsweisungen fur diese scheinbare Dichotomie mit der Absicht
der qualitatssichernden Optimierung und gesundheitsfoerdernden
Balancierung der Anforderungen und Herausforderungen des
schulischen Umfeldes und den subjektiv-personellen Potenzen der
Lehrer gesucht.
At no time in the history of public education has there been such a
dramatic discrepancy between accelerated standards and expectations
and adequate funding for our schools. Much has been written about
how to achieve new expectations in the realm of student achievement
and the need for accountability and the restructuring of how
education dollars are spent. Unfortunately, most of the input
regarding the need for "belt-tightening" is unaccompanied by
tangible solutions or suggestions and results only in hollow
rhetoric or convenient political sound bytes. This journey into
meaningful avenues for cost-savings in public education is clearly
an exception. Any school official who reads this book will find a
number of viable possibilities for saving money. The authors offer
time-tested, practical ideas, which are proven to work. Features
cost-saving tips for: * District and school-level administration *
Curriculum, instruction, vocational and special education, student
services, and media * Building and grounds, maintenance, pupil
transportation, and food services * Community colleges The authors
briefly review the literature for: * Managing decline in resources
and discuss the problem of declining funds for schools and solution
strategies * Generating alternative revenue sources in education
Samples of strategic plans are also included. For educational
administrators, state governors and senators, school boards, and
school business officials.
In this classic work, John Steinbruner argues that the time is
ripe for exploration of a new theoretical perspective on the
decision-making process in government. He suggests that the
cybernetic theory of decision as developed in such diverse fields
as information theory, mathematical logic, and behavioral
psychology generates a systematic but non-rational analysis that
seems to explain quite naturally decisions that are puzzling when
viewed from the rational perspective. When combined with the basic
understanding of human mental operations developed in cognitive
psychology, the cybernetic theory of decision presents a striking
picture of how decision makers deal with the intense uncertainty
and fundamental value conflicts that arise in bureaucratic
politics. To illustrate the advantages of using cybernetic theory,
Steinbruner analyzes the issue of sharing nuclear weapons among the
NATO allies.
Die Entwicklung der Schularchitektur in Deutschland hatte,
gunstigere gesellschaftliche Rahmenbedingungen vorausgesetzt, einen
weitaus glucklicheren Verlauf nehmen koennen. Einer gedeihlicheren
Entwicklung des Schulbaus in den deutschen Landern standen jedoch
einerseits materielle Zwange, andererseits ideologische
Bestrebungen traditionell als grosses Hindernis entgegen.
Padagogische Belange gerieten allzuoft ins Hintertreffen. Mit
dieser Problematik setzt sich die Arbeit auseinander: Die
Schulbauentwicklung in Deutschland wird beginnend mit dem spaten
18. und fruhen 19. Jahrhundert anhand von historischen und
zeitgenoessischen Beispielen erlautert. Neben der architektonischen
Entwicklung sind in diesem Zusammenhang die mit ihr einhergehenden
padagogischen und gesellschaftlichen Veranderungen von Bedeutung.
Now revised and updated, this introduction to decision theory is
both accessible and comprehensive, covering topics including
decision making under ignorance and risk, the foundations of
utility theory, the debate over subjective and objective
probability, Bayesianism, causal decision theory, game theory, and
social choice theory. No mathematical skills are assumed, with all
concepts and results explained in non-technical and intuitive as
well as more formal ways. There are now over 140 exercises with
solutions, along with a glossary of key terms and concepts. This
second edition includes a new chapter on risk aversion as well as
updated discussions of numerous central ideas, including Newcomb's
problem, prisoner's dilemmas, and Arrow's impossibility theorem.
The book will appeal particularly to philosophy students but also
to readers in a range of disciplines, from computer science and
psychology to economics and political science.
Very Short Introductions: Brilliant, Sharp, Inspiring Everyone
negotiates. Whenever any person, company, or country needs someone
else to accomplish something, they must negotiate. Negotiation is
essential for peace and international relations, but also for
economically efficient trades and bargains in business, and for
problem solving skills in workplaces, families, and interpersonal
interactions. This Very Short Introduction provides a comprehensive
and accessible review of both conceptual and behavioural approaches
to the human process of negotiation. Carrie Menkel-Meadow draws on
research in constituent fields of human psychology, diplomacy, law,
business, anthropology, game theory, decision making, international
relations, sociology, public policy, and economics, suggesting
models for creative problem solving to often intractable problems.
Considering that most people are tense and frightened of what they
perceive to be scarce resource confrontations with opponents and
competitors, Menkel-Meadow offers different ways to plan for and
approach others to solve human problems and seek solutions that
satisfy both parties. Alongside this, Menkel-Meadow summarises
recent research on the variations of human behaviour, providing
vivid examples from history and current affairs to solve some of
the most difficult problems. ABOUT THE SERIES: The Very Short
Introductions series from Oxford University Press contains hundreds
of titles in almost every subject area. These pocket-sized books
are the perfect way to get ahead in a new subject quickly. Our
expert authors combine facts, analysis, perspective, new ideas, and
enthusiasm to make interesting and challenging topics highly
readable.
It is widely held that Bayesian decision theory is the final
word on how a rational person should make decisions. However,
Leonard Savage--the inventor of Bayesian decision theory--argued
that it would be ridiculous to use his theory outside the kind of
small world in which it is always possible to "look before you
leap." If taken seriously, this view makes Bayesian decision theory
inappropriate for the large worlds of scientific discovery and
macroeconomic enterprise. When is it correct to use Bayesian
decision theory--and when does it need to be modified? Using a
minimum of mathematics, "Rational Decisions" clearly explains the
foundations of Bayesian decision theory and shows why Savage
restricted the theory's application to small worlds.
The book is a wide-ranging exploration of standard theories of
choice and belief under risk and uncertainty. Ken Binmore discusses
the various philosophical attitudes related to the nature of
probability and offers resolutions to paradoxes believed to hinder
further progress. In arguing that the Bayesian approach to
knowledge is inadequate in a large world, Binmore proposes an
extension to Bayesian decision theory--allowing the idea of a mixed
strategy in game theory to be expanded to a larger set of what
Binmore refers to as "muddled" strategies.
Written by one of the world's leading game theorists, "Rational
Decisions" is the touchstone for anyone needing a concise,
accessible, and expert view on Bayesian decision making.
An analogy is a comparison between two things. It points out the
similarities between two things that might be different in all
other respects. Analogies cause us to think analytically about
forms, uses, structures, and relationships. This all-time favorite
resource not only gives students a chance to practice solving
analogies, but also invites them to open their minds to a
completely new way of analyzing the elements of analogies. Each
page introduces several categories of analogies. Each category
expands students' way of viewing the world and contrasting and
comparing elements. Thinking Through Analogies also instills the
tools whereby students can create relationships to enhance their
creative and formal writing, as well as to heighten their critical
thinking in test taking. Other books that teach analogies are
Analogies for Beginners and Analogies for the 21st Century. Grades
3-6
What if our ability to make decisions was more a matter of chance
than a rational process? It has long been recognized that the mind
decides, the body obeys. However, as the author of this book
argues, in reality it might just be the opposite. The
decision-making process is produced by cerebral matter. It is a
random phenomenon that results from competing processes within a
network whose architecture has changed little since the first
vertebrates. This book presents a 'bottom-up' approach to
understanding decision making, starting from the fundamental
question: what are the basic properties that a neural network of
decision making needs to possess? Combining data drawn from
phylogeny and physiology, the book provides a general framework for
the neurobiology of decision-making in vertebrates, and explains
how it evolved from the lamprey to the apes. It also looks at the
consequences of such a framework: how it impacts our capacity for
reasoning, and considers some aspects of the pathophysiology of
higher brain functions. It ends with an open discussion of more
philosophical concepts such as the nature of Free-will. Written in
a lively and accessible style, the book presents an exciting
perspective on understanding decision making.
Amazingly, the complexities of voting theory can be explained and resolved with comfortable geometry. A geometry which unifies such seemingly disparate topics as manipulation, monotonicity, and even the apportionment issues of the US Supreme Court. Although directed mainly toward students and others wishing to learn about voting, experts will discover here many previously unpublished results. As an example, a new profile decomposition quickly resolves the age-old controversies of Condorcet and Borda, demonstrates that the rankings of pairwise and other methods differ because they rely on different information, casts serious doubt on the reliability of a Condorcet winner as a standard for the field, makes the famous Arrow's Theorem predictable, and simplifies the construction of examples.
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