|
Books > Reference & Interdisciplinary > Communication studies > Decision theory > General
Dieses Open-Access-Buch zur Consumer Decision Neuroscience verfolgt
das Ziel, durch die Integration neurowissenschaftlicher Methoden in
die Kaufer- und Konsumentenverhaltensforschung die Identifikation
verhaltensrelevanter, neurophysiologischer Variablen zu
ermoeglichen, um darauf aufbauend eine Theorieerweiterung zu
schaffen. In ausgewahlten Beitragen werden Kaufer- und
Konsumentenentscheidungsprozesse anhand verschiedener methodischer,
neurowissenschaftlich fundierter Herangehensweisen empirisch
untersucht, um die Entscheidungsprozesse umfassend beschreiben,
effektiver unterstutzen und erfolgreich vorhersagen zu koennen.
What if our ability to make decisions was more a matter of chance
than a rational process? It has long been recognized that the mind
decides, the body obeys. However, as the author of this book
argues, in reality it might just be the opposite. The
decision-making process is produced by cerebral matter. It is a
random phenomenon that results from competing processes within a
network whose architecture has changed little since the first
vertebrates. This book presents a 'bottom-up' approach to
understanding decision making, starting from the fundamental
question: what are the basic properties that a neural network of
decision making needs to possess? Combining data drawn from
phylogeny and physiology, the book provides a general framework for
the neurobiology of decision-making in vertebrates, and explains
how it evolved from the lamprey to the apes. It also looks at the
consequences of such a framework: how it impacts our capacity for
reasoning, and considers some aspects of the pathophysiology of
higher brain functions. It ends with an open discussion of more
philosophical concepts such as the nature of Free-will. Written in
a lively and accessible style, the book presents an exciting
perspective on understanding decision making.
The information in this book will provide board members with simple
tools to become an effective member of the board, even in the first
term. Board members are introduced to Values Governance (R) system
that incorporates community process techniques, curricular, and
instructional innovations. This new model provides greater
efficiency, effectiveness, and coherence in the governance of the
board. With the completion of this survival guide, the new board
member is ready to join the board with some skills in hand.
Die aus dem Zusammentreffen von stagnierenden Bildungsbudgets und
tendenziell weiter steigenden Anforderungen an die Bildungssysteme
entstandene Verscharfung der finanziellen Engpasssituation hat die
Frage nach dem optimalen Einsatz der zur Verfugung stehenden Mittel
immer dringender werden lassen. Ihr galt das Hauptaugenmerk einer
internationalen bildungsoekonomischen Fachtagung, die im September
1999 am Deutschen Institut fur Internationale Padagogische
Forschung (DIPF) in Frankfurt am Main stattfand. Die dort
prasentierten Beitrage sind in diesem Band dokumentiert. Das
thematische Spektrum reicht von Situationsbeschreibungen und
-analysen (z.B. zur Produktivitatsentwicklung im Schulbereich) uber
steuerungstheoretische Abhandlungen und die Evaluation neuer
Steuerungskonzepte bis hin zu Problemen der Verbesserung der
bildungsfinanzstatistischen Datenbasis und Erfahrungen mit
Optimierungsmodellen bei der Schulstandortplanung. Der Band richtet
sich an Interessenten aus Bildungspolitik, Bildungsverwaltung,
Wirtschafts- und Erziehungswissenschaften.
Amazingly, the complexities of voting theory can be explained and resolved with comfortable geometry. A geometry which unifies such seemingly disparate topics as manipulation, monotonicity, and even the apportionment issues of the US Supreme Court. Although directed mainly toward students and others wishing to learn about voting, experts will discover here many previously unpublished results. As an example, a new profile decomposition quickly resolves the age-old controversies of Condorcet and Borda, demonstrates that the rankings of pairwise and other methods differ because they rely on different information, casts serious doubt on the reliability of a Condorcet winner as a standard for the field, makes the famous Arrow's Theorem predictable, and simplifies the construction of examples.
It is widely held that Bayesian decision theory is the final
word on how a rational person should make decisions. However,
Leonard Savage--the inventor of Bayesian decision theory--argued
that it would be ridiculous to use his theory outside the kind of
small world in which it is always possible to "look before you
leap." If taken seriously, this view makes Bayesian decision theory
inappropriate for the large worlds of scientific discovery and
macroeconomic enterprise. When is it correct to use Bayesian
decision theory--and when does it need to be modified? Using a
minimum of mathematics, "Rational Decisions" clearly explains the
foundations of Bayesian decision theory and shows why Savage
restricted the theory's application to small worlds.
The book is a wide-ranging exploration of standard theories of
choice and belief under risk and uncertainty. Ken Binmore discusses
the various philosophical attitudes related to the nature of
probability and offers resolutions to paradoxes believed to hinder
further progress. In arguing that the Bayesian approach to
knowledge is inadequate in a large world, Binmore proposes an
extension to Bayesian decision theory--allowing the idea of a mixed
strategy in game theory to be expanded to a larger set of what
Binmore refers to as "muddled" strategies.
Written by one of the world's leading game theorists, "Rational
Decisions" is the touchstone for anyone needing a concise,
accessible, and expert view on Bayesian decision making.
There is no shortage of books on decision making-books that tell
you how irrational you are, how being rational is holding you back
or how competing brain systems cause chaos with your ability to
choose wisely. All of these make it difficult to decide how to
decide. DECIDE cuts through the clutter. Part science and part
practice, DECIDE follows Tremaine's decade long quest to answer the
question: what is a good decision and how do I make one? The answer
is illustrated with examples from her pioneering work in building
decision-making systems for teams up to large multinational
organisations. Tremaine's straight talk and use of the latest (and
most reliable) research lead you on a path of discovery as you
unpack your own decision-making process, plug the holes in it and
learn new skills to ensure that you make the best possible
decisions. DECIDE is an indispensable guide for individuals, teams
and leaders.
This innovative textbook makes the tools and applications of game
theory and strategic reasoning both fascinating and easy to
understand. Each chapter focuses a specific strategic situation as
a way of introducing core concepts informally at first, then more
fully, with a minimum of mathematics. At the heart of the book is a
diverse collection of strategic scenarios, not only from business
and politics, but from history, fiction, sports, and everyday life
as well. With this approach, students don't just learn clever
answers to puzzles, but instead acquire genuine insights into human
behaviour. Written for major courses in economics, business,
political science, and international relations, this textbook is
accessible to students across the undergraduate spectrum.
Braucht die Schule objektivierte Tests? Die Leistungstests der 70er
Jahre sind durch die Oberstufenreform und die veranderten
curricularen Voraussetzungen groesstenteils uberholt. Andererseits
treten Tests als Mittel der Lernfoerderung durch
Sprachstandsdiagnose zunehmend in den Vordergrund. Die Arbeit
stellt die Entwicklung eines lernzielbezogenen Grammatiktests vor,
der auf den Vorgaben der Richtlinien fur die Sekundarstufe 1
beruht. Vor diesem Hintergrund werden die Schwierigkeiten der
Integration von Haupt- und Realschulern, die mit qualifiziertem
Abschluss in die gymnasiale Oberstufe wechseln, dargestellt. Allein
in Nordrhein-Westfalen sind dies jedes Jahr mehr als 8000 Schuler.
In der vorliegenden Schrift werden erstmals die unterschiedlichen
Voraussetzungen empirisch evaluiert und die Moeglichkeiten zur
Lernfoerderung auf der Basis einer Diagnose aufgezeigt.
Behavioural studies have shown that while humans may be the best
decision makers on the planet, we are not quite as good as we think
we are. We are regularly subject to biases, inconsistencies and
irrationalities in our decision making. Decision Behaviour,
Analysis and Support, published in 2009, explores perspectives from
many different disciplines to show how we can help decision makers
to deliberate and make better decisions. It considers both the use
of computers and databases to support decisions as well as human
aids to building analyses and some fast and frugal tricks to aid
more consistent decision making. In its exploration of decision
support it draws together results and observations from decision
theory, behavioural and psychological studies, artificial
intelligence and information systems, philosophy, operational
research and organisational studies. This provides a valuable
resource for managers with decision-making responsibilities and
students from a range of disciplines, including management,
engineering and information systems.
Brian Hedden defends a radical view about the relationship between
rationality, personal identity, and time. On the standard view,
personal identity over time plays a central role in thinking about
rationality. This is because, on the standard view, there are
rational norms for how a person's attitudes and actions at one time
should fit with her attitudes and actions at other times, norms
that apply within a person but not across persons. But these norms
are problematic. They make what you rationally ought to believe or
do depend on facts about your past that aren't part of your current
perspective on the world, and they make rationality depend on
controversial, murky metaphysical facts about what binds different
instantaneous snapshots (or 'time-slices') into a single person
extended in time. Hedden takes a different approach, treating the
relationship between different time-slices of the same person as no
different from the relationship between different people. For
purposes of rational evaluation, a temporally extended person is
akin to a group of people. The locus of rationality is the
time-slice rather than the temporally extended agent. Taking an
impersonal, time-slice-centric approach to rationality yields a
unified approach to the rationality of beliefs, preferences, and
actions where what rationality demands of you is solely determined
by your evidence, with no special weight given to your past beliefs
or actions.
|
|