Learn by doing with this user-friendly introduction to time series data analysis in R. This book explores the intricacies of managing and cleaning time series data of different sizes, scales and granularity, data preparation for analysis and visualization, and different approaches to classical and machine learning time series modeling and forecasting. A range of pedagogical features support students, including end-of-chapter exercises, problems, quizzes and case studies. The case studies are designed to stretch the learner, introducing larger data sets, enhanced data management skills, and R packages and functions appropriate for real-world data analysis. On top of providing commented R programs and data sets, the book's companion website offers extra case studies, lecture slides, videos and exercise solutions. Accessible to those with a basic background in statistics and probability, this is an ideal hands-on text for undergraduate and graduate students, as well as researchers in data-rich disciplines

Making Sense of Statistics, Eighth Edition, is the ideal introduction to the concepts of descriptive and inferential statistics for students undertaking their first research project. It presents each statistical concept in a series of short steps, then uses worked examples and exercises to enable students to apply their own learning. It focuses on presenting the "why," as well as the "how" of statistical concepts, rather than computations and formulas. As such, it is suitable for students from all disciplines regardless of mathematical background. Only statistical techniques that are almost universally included in introductory statistics courses, and widely reported in journals, have been included. This conceptual book is useful for all study levels, from undergraduate to doctoral level across disciplines. Once students understand and feel comfortable with the statistics presented in this book, they should find it easy to master additional statistical concepts. New to the Eighth Edition Reorganization of chapters to allow a better progress of conceptual understanding Additional discussions on program evaluation, display of outcomes and examples Chapter objectives at the beginning of each chapter are listed with clear learning objectives for the reader Expanded Appendices include a reference to common computational formulas and examples Glossary of key terms has been updated to function as useful vocabulary list for use in first course in statistics Updated online resources, including a basic math review and answers, PowerPoint slides and a test bank of questions The downloadable Support Material can be accessed at: www.routledge.com/9781032289649

This best-selling guide to undertaking your Early Years research project takes you on a practical step-by-step journey. Breaking down each section into accessible and digestible topics, and accompanied by a multitude of practical examples, case studies, research summaries and key points, the author brings this process to life. The updated and revised edition includes: All chapters have been updated with new content on working in an online environment Completely revised Chapter 10, packed with new content New activities and case studies throughout From learning how to structure and organise your project, through to the final presentation and written report of your findings, this is the essential guide for undergraduate and postgraduate students throughout their early childhood or early years courses.

This powerful book introduces core critical thinking concepts and principles as an empowering problem-solving framework for every profession, course of study, and indeed every area of life. The Miniature Guide to Critical Thinking Concepts and Tools distills the groundbreaking work of Richard Paul and Linda Elder, targeting how to deconstruct thinking through the elements of reasoning and how to assess the quality of our thinking. The eighth edition of this guide further details the foundations of critical thinking and how they can be applied in instruction to improve teaching and learning at all levels; it also reveals how we can learn to identify and avoid egocentric and sociocentric thought, which lead to close-mindedness, self-deception, arrogance, hypocrisy, greed, selfishness, herd mentality, prejudice, and the like. With more than half a million copies sold, Richard Paul and Linda Elder's bestselling book in the Thinker's Guide Library is used in secondary and higher education courses and professional development seminars across the globe. In a world of conflicting information and clashing ideologies, this guide clears a path for advancing fairminded critical societies.

In this revised second edition, Baggio and Klobas build upon the work of their previous volume, offering a presentation of quantitative research methods for tourism researchers. This accessible and rigorous guide goes beyond the approaches usually covered in introductory textbooks on quantitative methods to consider useful techniques for statistical inquiry into tourism matters of all but the most econometrically complex kind. The first part of the book concerns common issues in statistical analysis of data and the most widely-used techniques, while the second part describes and discusses several newer and less common approaches to data analysis that are valuable for tourism researchers and analysts. Updates to the second edition include: • a new chapter on “Big Data�  • consideration of data screening and cleaning • the use of similarity and diversity indexes for comparing samples • observations about the partial least squares (PLS) approach to path modelling • a new section on multi-group structural equation modelling • a new section on common method variance and its treatment • revised and updated section on software • fully updated references and examples

Disasters! is the first Big Book of Level 12 in the Aweh! English reading scheme. Aweh! is a graded reading scheme that will awaken any child’s imagination as they join Mama Africa in saving the world’s stories by charging the Umthombo; the well of stories. The bright and colourful artwork provides a child-centred learning opportunity that integrates both the weekly Mathematics concept and the Life Skills topic. The inside cover identifies the key vocabulary and phonic focus for every book, and includes the Before, During and After Reading information to support the teacher in Shared Reading. Aweh! English is a whole language graded reading scheme, structured around vocabulary acquisition and includes embedded phonics.

Poems 2000-2005 is a transitional collection written while the author - also known to be W. J. Me Cormack, literary historian - was in the process of moving back from London to settle in rural Ireland. It is also a vigorous contribution to the age-old dialogue between Sacred and Profane themes, questioning beliefs and pleasures, guilts and landscapes, poetic methods and prosaic realities.

Nineteenth-century America and the world of Samuel L. Clemens, better known as Mark Twain, come to life as children journey back in time with this history- and literature-laden activity book. The comprehensive biographical information explores Mark Twain as a multi-talented man of his times, from his childhood in the rough-and-tumble West of Missouri to his many careers--steamboat pilot, printer, miner, inventor, world traveler, businessman, lecturer, newspaper reporter, and most important, author--and how these experiences influenced his writing. Twain-inspired activities include making printer's type, building a model paddlewheel boat, unmasking a hoax, inventing new words, cooking cornpone, planning a newspaper, observing people, and writing maxims. An extensive resource section offers information on Twain's classics, such as "Tom Sawyer" and "The Adventures of Huckleberry Finn," as well as a listing of recommended web sites to explore.

Could a mindset that works for a former NFL player work for a teacher? How could the CEO of a successful snack food company inspire a teacher? If the dedication of a teacher works for students, can it work for a city-based construction company? Discover the seemingly unparalleled connections between classrooms and Greater Philadelphia businesses! Leaders in both arenas find common ground and identify the approaches that best serve the game plan of success. In this unique collection of classroom-business mindsets for personal growth, relational growth, and service growth, you will be powerfully encouraged to maximize who you are so you can be and give your best to others. Teachers improving classrooms and influencing students; business leaders stimulating companies and motivating employees . . . with the same strategies and the same perspectives! The two realms have finally merged in a book that will ignite your heart to live with fire, passion, and purpose. As if there is any other way!

As in Improving Your Leadership Intelligence A Field Book for K-12 Leaders, Maulding Green and Leonard have in, Improving Your Leadership Intelligence: Volume 2 Scenarios in K-12 Leadership, provided the reader with an ongoing series of situational judgement test (SJT) scenarios, used in a process that assists both novice and experienced leaders to grow their Leadership Intelligence. The main change in the content in this second edition is that all of the scenarios are based on the experiences of practicing and/or recently retired K-12 educational leaders. As in the volume 1, supporting readings are provided from recent literature to further develop the Leadership Intelligence imperatives of credibility, competence, ability to inspire, vision, and emotional intelligence. The book is based on the foundational books setting forth Leadership Intelligence theory: Leadership Intelligence: Navigating to Your True North and Leadership Intelligence: Navigating with Confidence and Humility (forth coming in the fall of 2019).

Most studies of World War II assume that it was, in some way, a triumph for Britain. John Charmley's important new reappraisal of the immediate origins of the war is based on extensive new work in the Chamberlain papers. It starts from Chamberlain's belief that even a victorious war would be a disaster-it would destroy the foundations of British power and hand over Europe to Russian domination. Reconstructing Chamberlain's policy assumptions, Mr. Charmley argues that they were neither naive nor foolish. While focusing on the prime minister's personality, he also shows that Chamberlain's views were shared by many other leading politicians and diplomats. Mr. Charmley thus resurrects a whole school of thought on foreign policy which was forgotten in the wake of Churchill's triumph. Unlike Churchill, Chamberlain was not prepared to gamble an empire; but events produced, according to Mr. Charmley, indeed a "human tragedy." Early British reviews of the book have called it "important," "entertaining and absorbing," "concise and spirited," and "provocative." The Guardian wrote: "Chamberlain hardly emerges a hero from these pages, but at least there is no excuse left for regarding him as no more than a wimp in a wing-collar."

This is the first textbook designed to teach statistics to students in aviation courses. All examples and exercises are grounded in an aviation context, including flight instruction, air traffic control, airport management, and human factors. Structured in six parts, theiscovers the key foundational topics relative to descriptive and inferential statistics, including hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, z and t tests, correlation, regression, ANOVA, and chi-square. In addition, this book promotes both procedural knowledge and conceptual understanding. Detailed, guided examples are presented from the perspective of conducting a research study. Each analysis technique is clearly explained, enabling readers to understand, carry out, and report results correctly. Students are further supported by a range of pedagogical features in each chapter, including objectives, a summary, and a vocabulary check. Digital supplements comprise downloadable data sets and short video lectures explaining key concepts. Instructors also have access to PPT slides and an instructor’s manual that consists of a test bank with multiple choice exams, exercises with data sets, and solutions. This is the ideal statistics textbook for aviation courses globally, especially in aviation statistics, research methods in aviation, human factors, and related areas.

This thoughtful, inspiring, often humorous, and intensely spiritual collection brings together for the first time the most searching writings from the world of monks and nuns. They reveal and explore the mystique of lives given totally to God.

Far too often, teachers and administrators are adversaries within a school or district and display a mutual distrust and disrespect for each other’s perspectives. Yet when this dissonance can be overcome, the result is a more-harmonious school environment that promotes student achievement. In Lead Like a Teacher, instructional specialist Miriam Plotinsky urges secondary school administrators to lead more effectively by actively listening to teachers and welcoming their expertise. Each chapter examines one of nine key aspects of leadership and offers specific, creative solutions to the complex challenge of empowering change. Moving from a micro to a macro focus as the book progresses—from classroom instruction to school-wide initiatives—Plotinsky provides administrators with the tools to build and maintain collaborative leadership structures. This thoughtful approach to secondary leadership provides an actionable plan to dismantle some of the biggest barriers to achieving school excellence.

Provides Social Sciences PhD students with a set of roadmaps to follow to find a career path outside of academia Introduces sectors, businesses and types of positions available to those with a PhD in social sciences and describes the pros and cons of each to clarify what your options are and enable you to make clear-eyed decisions about your preferences Provides a guide to the methodologies you will put into place in the roles described, to help you understand what the role might involve and how to carry out projects successfully Designed to help Social Sciences PhDs to choose the right career for their personalities, skill sets and preferences.